Sofia Quijada
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Atlante sit 16th in the Apertura table with just two wins from eleven rounds, while Pumas occupy 12th spot after a stretch of four games without a victory. Both sides arrive at Estadio Azul out of form, but the interesting wrinkle is Pumas have conceded 11 goals in their last five outings, more than almost any other side in the division’s top half, yet they keep scoring too. That combination of leaky defending and sharp attacking tends to produce entertaining, high-scoring fixtures, and we think this one follows the pattern.
Jhojan Julio has been Atlante’s biggest attacking spark lately, contributing a goal and two assists in three outings and carrying most of the creative burden through midfield. For Pumas, Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior has been the standout, with two goals and an assist in his last three appearances, giving Esteban Solari a reliable outlet up front even as the defense struggles.
Hot stat: Pumas have shipped 11 goals across their last five matches while also netting 9 of their own, a pace that points squarely toward goals at both ends on Saturday.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Liga MX 2026 Apertura, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Azul, Mexico City |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 05:00 CEST |
Atlante vs Pumas U.N.A.M. prediction
We lean toward Pumas on the double chance market here, backed with both teams to score. Atlante’s home form has been inconsistent, their recent results read loss, win, draw, loss, draw, and the solitary win came against a struggling Monterrey side rather than anyone resembling Pumas in quality. Pumas, despite sitting outside the top half themselves, carry the better squad on paper with Keylor Navas marshalling the back line and multiple attacking threats capable of scoring against a defense that has conceded nine times in five games.
Style-wise, Atlante have picked up more yellow cards (5) than Pumas (1) across their last five matches but have also committed more fouls, 33 against 25, suggesting a side that defends through contact rather than control. Pumas have actually been sent off twice in that same stretch, a red-card rate that could prove costly against a physical Atlante side chasing points at home. Possession numbers favor Atlante slightly on paper, with 1214 passes attempted to Pumas’ 1019, but completion rates sit close together at roughly 82% against 79%, so neither side holds a clear technical edge.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Pumas Double Chance (X2) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Atlante’s last outing ended 0-2 away at Queretaro, a result that fits a worrying trend of blanking in front of goal against sides with organized defenses. Before that they thrashed Monterrey 4-2, a scoreline that looks more like an outlier than a reliable marker of attacking form given how toothless they looked in the following game. Across the last five matches Miguel Herrera’s men have managed only one clean sheet and conceded multiple goals in three of five, which does not inspire confidence against a Pumas attack that has scored in four of its last five matches. In our preview of Queretaro vs Atlante we backed Queretaro to win with goals staying under 2.5, and the 2-0 result delivered exactly that, reinforcing the view that Atlante struggle to break down well-drilled defenses on the road.
Pumas drew 3-3 with Cruz Azul in their most recent fixture, a wild match that summed up their season: goals at both ends, defensive lapses, and a failure to close games out. The draw followed a 2-3 loss to Atletico San Luis and continues a run without a win in four. Solari’s side has scored in four of their last five games but has also conceded in four of five, a pattern that makes backing BTTS a sensible route rather than trying to predict a clean result for either side.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Atlante | Pumas U.N.A.M. |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Atlante vs Pumas U.N.A.M. stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atlante the favourite
- Moneyline Atlante 2.40 | Pumas U.N.A.M. 2.65
- Draw 3.40
Bookmaker averages give Atlante a 38% chance of winning against 34% for Pumas and 27% for the draw, a split that leans on home advantage rather than current form. The market prices Atlante as marginally cheaper to back outright, but the gap between the two sides is thin, and the value, in our view, sits with Pumas avoiding defeat rather than with backing either side to win outright.
Atlante. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Atlante possible starting eleven
- GK: Óscar Jiménez
- DF: Eduardo Tercero, Juan Carrera, Aarón Quirós, Walter Portales
- MF: Luis Calzadilla, Eugenio Pizzuto, Jhojan Julio, Martín Sarrafiore, Christian Bermudez
- FW: Luis Puente
Herrera keeps his usual 4-2-3-1 shape, leaning on the fitness of Jhojan Julio behind lone striker Luis Puente. Walter Portales and Eduardo Tercero have barely missed a minute over the last five games and form the backbone of a defense that still needs work after conceding nine goals in that span.
Pumas U.N.A.M. possible starting eleven
- GK: Keylor Navas
- DF: Nathanael Ananias, Pablo Bennevendo, Ángel Azuaje, Rubén Duarte
- MF: Rodrigo López, Victor Arteaga, Pedro Vite
- FW: Carlos Antuna, Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior, Cesar Huerta
Solari sticks with his 4-2-3-1 setup built around Navas behind a back four, with Rodrigo López dictating tempo from deep. Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior and Cesar Huerta carry the main goal threat, and both have delivered when given minutes recently, which should worry an Atlante defense already shipping goals at a high rate.
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Pumas. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict goals from both sides at Estadio Azul. Atlante’s home comfort is real but their attack has misfired too often lately to trust a clean win, and Pumas carry enough firepower through Antuna, Olávio and Huerta to find the net regardless of their own defensive issues. Perhaps the safest read is a share of the spoils or a narrow Pumas edge, with over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes covering the most likely outcomes based on how both squads have played out their last five fixtures. To be hones, neither defense has done enough to suggest a low-scoring, cagey affair is coming.
