The UEFA Europa League Round of 16 presents a crucial encounter between Athletic Bilbao and Roma. This match holds significant importance for Athletic Bilbao, who need a decisive victory to overturn their deficit from the first leg, where they succumbed to a 1-2 defeat. On the other hand, Roma will aim to maintain their unbeaten streak in the competition. The winner of this tie will secure a spot in the quarter-finals, making the stakes incredibly high.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2024/25 |
| ⚽️ Venue: | San Mamés, Bilbao |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.03.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
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Athletic Bilbao vs Roma prediction: 3-1 Correct Score Outcome
The styles of play for both teams are likely to influence the match’s trajectory. Athletic Bilbao, typically favoring a possession-based game, will aim to control the midfield and break down Roma’s defense. However, their aggressive style also leads to frequent fouls, indicated by their recent tally of 13 yellow cards. Roma, known for their disciplined approach and counter-attacking prowess, will seek to capitalize on any errors by Bilbao, leveraging their impressive 88% win rate in recent matches.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Roma to score first, with odds higher than ~1.5 |
| ⚽ Correct Score: | 3-1 to Athletic Bilbao |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Goals Over 2.5: | Yes |
Team Analysis
Athletic Bilbao’s recent form has been inconsistent, with only 2 wins out of their last 6 matches, reflecting a 33% win rate. Their last match against Mallorca ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting their struggle against mid-tier opposition. Key players like Iñaki Williams have been pivotal, yet Bilbao’s defense has occasionally faltered under pressure, as seen in their loss to Atletico Madrid.
Conversely, Roma are enjoying an exceptional run, boasting an 88% win rate from their last 8 games. Their ability to consistently outperform rivals, even in tightly-contested matches, is noteworthy. Their previous 2-1 victory over Athletic Bilbao showcased not only their tactical resilience but also their capacity to adapt and exploit opposition weaknesses.
Most recent H2Hs: Roma Dominates
| Date | Athletic Bilbao | Roma | Bookmakers expectation Athletic Bilbao | Bookmakers expectation (Draw) | Bookmakers expectation Roma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.04.2025 | 1 | 2 | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| 27.03.2025 | 1 | 1 | 45% | 26% | 29% |
🚨Read our full Athletic Bilbao vs Roma stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic Bilbao the favourite
| Bookmaker | Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888starz | 1.95 | 3.68 | 4.32 |
| megapari | 1.95 | 3.68 | 4.32 |
| 22bet | 1.89 | 3.54 | 4.16 |
| 1xbit | 1.89 | 3.54 | 4.16 |
| spinbetter | 1.95 | 3.68 | 4.32 |
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
Iñaki Williams will be central to Athletic Bilbao’s attacking efforts, known for his blistering pace and finishing ability, having scored 3 goals across recent matches. His partnership with Nicholas Williams Arthuer, who has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists, will be crucial in breaking down Roma’s defensive lines.
Roma’s Paulo Dybala and Eldor Shomurodov are expected to shine, with Dybala being a key playmaker and having scored twice recently. Shomurodov’s ability to create and convert chances, as seen from his 3 goals and 2 assists, will be vital for Roma’s attacking strategy.
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Possible Starting Lineup
Athletic Bilbao is likely to continue with their 3-4-2-1 formation, deploying Óscar de Marcos, Iñaki Williams, and Íñigo Lekue in key roles. Their recent structure has allowed for flexible play, accommodating both defensive solidity and attacking potential.

Roma, expected to start in a 4-2-3-1 formation, will look to Bryan Cristante and Lorenzo Pellegrini to control the midfield battle. The involvement of Paulo Dybala as a dynamic forward will be pivotal, supported by Eldor Shomurodov, enhancing their offensive threat.
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Roma. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
My main pick is Athletic Bilbao to edge out Roma with a 3-1 win. Although Roma has shown superior form, Bilbao’s home advantage and pressing need for a result might just sway the balance in their favor. Historical performances and individual brilliance from key players like Iñaki Williams could prove decisive in this fixture.
