Atalanta vs Cremonese Prediction: 09.02.2026 Serie A 2025/26

As Serie A 2025/26 action resumes, Atalanta welcome Cremonese to Gewiss Stadium on February 9th, 2026. This fixture brings together a high-flying home side with European ambitions and a Cremonese outfit looking to claw their way up from the relegation-threatened zone. Despite the contrasting recent runs of form, both teams have a point to prove, especially after their previous encounter ended in a stalemate.

For Atalanta, all eyes will be on Gianluca Scamacca, whose clinical finishing has been vital to their attack, while Marten de Roon continues to anchor midfield transitions effectively. Cremonese, though struggling, depend on the veteran presence of defender Federico Baschirotto and target man Jamie Vardy, whose experience is crucial in tight fixtures.

Here’s a standout stat: Atalanta have scored nine goals in their last five matches, while Cremonese have failed to find the net in that same period – highlighting the sharp contrast in attacking output as we approach this match.

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Atalanta vs Cremonese prediction

Given both teams’ trajectories, Atalanta’s consistency at home and attacking form give them a distinct edge. Cremonese’s inability to score in their last five matches and their defensive vulnerabilities suggest an uphill battle in Bergamo.

Atalanta’s tactical discipline under Raffaele Palladino is evident in their use of a 3-4-2-1 formation, prioritizing high pressing and quick recovery after losing possession. Their fouls (55 in last five matches) and yellow card count (8) indicate an aggressive pressing style, but discipline is generally maintained, as seen by just one red card.

Cremonese, under Davide Nicola, mirror Atalanta’s structure but lack the same attacking execution. Despite sticking to a 3-4-2-1, they’ve failed to register a goal over five games, compounded by a slightly higher yellow card count (9) and 54 fouls, suggesting frustration often seeps into their play. Their ball progression and pass accuracy (just 54 percent compared to Atalanta’s 55 percent) limit their ability to build attacks cohesively.

Given this context, expect Atalanta to control possession, force turnovers, and capitalize on set-piece opportunities. The best betting value lies in backing Atalanta with either an Asian Handicap or Draw No Bet option.

Team Analysis

Atalanta Recent Games: Atalanta’s recent results reflect both dominance and adaptability. A statement 3-0 win over Juventus showcased their ability to exploit defensive gaps and finish clinically. Prior to that, a frustrating 0-0 against Como showed their resolve and defensive stability, while a narrow defeat in Europe against Royale Union SG highlighted the need for even sharper finishing on the continental stage. The 4-0 dismantling of Parma further evidences their attacking depth. Collectively, Atalanta’s form is built on quick transitions, high line defensive pressure, and spreading goal threats among forwards like Scamacca and Nikola Krstović.

Cremonese Recent Games: Cremonese’s campaign has been a struggle for momentum. Their latest outing – a 0-2 loss to title-chasing Inter – speaks to their inability to convert rare chances into goals. A 0-1 home defeat to Sassuolo and goalless draw with Verona before that continued a dry spell in front of goal, while a 0-5 drubbing by Juventus was a low point highlighting defensive fragility. Even their 2-2 with Cagliari, though positive, couldn’t mask lingering issues in both penalty boxes. Davide Nicola’s men are in dire need of inspiration, and without a goal in five matches, confidence is understandably low.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Atalanta vs Cremonese stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta the favourite

• Moneyline Atalanta 1.36 | Cremonese 8.80
• Draw 5.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.86 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.55

Atalanta are justifiably marked as clear favourites by bookmakers, with win probabilities averaging 70 percent to Cremonese’s 11 percent. The home team’s short odds reflect their superior recent form, attacking record, and overall squad quality. Meanwhile, Cremonese’s long odds underscore their struggles: lack of scoring, porous defence, and six-game winless run. With goal markets hinting at a possibly cagey affair, the value leans towards a home win, low-scoring outcome, and Atalanta covering a handicap. Both Teams To Score “No” is particularly attractive, given Cremonese’s longstanding drought in front of goal.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Atalanta possible starting eleven

This selection is based on recent game time and versatility within Atalanta’s favored 3-4-2-1. Carnesecchi has more minutes and composure than his backup, while Scamacca leads the line with Krstović in reserve. De Ketelaere and Pašalić offer creativity behind the striker, with de Roon and Éderson protecting the back three and dictating tempo. Wingbacks Zappacosta and Honest Ahanor inject width and pressing intensity. Expect Atalanta to stick to their proven system; look for Scamacca and de Roon to have major influence.

Cremonese possible starting eleven

Cremonese should line up in their 3-4-2-1, seeking defensive solidity. Baschirotto’s leadership in defence and Terracciano’s passing are critical. Wingbacks Pezzella and Barbieri are tasked with supporting both ends. Vardy, while yet to score recently, brings movement and the hope for a breakthrough. Bonazzoli will spearhead attack but needs support from Zerbin and the midfield. With little form to go by, expect a cautious, compact strategy aiming to frustrate Atalanta and rely on counter-attacks.

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My take on the Match

For bettors and fans alike, this matchup looks heavily tilted in Atalanta’s favour. Expect Atalanta to dominate the game, leveraging their superior tactical organisation, squad depth, and home advantage to secure three points. The main pick is Atalanta -1.5 Asian Handicap, as the gap in attacking intent and recent form is significant. A low-scoring game is likely, given Cremonese’s attacking woes, with Atalanta potentially keeping a clean sheet. If you are looking for certainty and value, supporting Atalanta to win to nil or under 2.5 goals offers substantial potential.

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