Liam Duckstein
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Arsenal welcome Everton to the Emirates sitting second in the table, just three points off Manchester City, while David Moyes’ side arrive in mid-table limbo after a rocky week against Chelsea. The gap on paper looks wide, and it genuinely is: Arsenal have lost once all season domestically, Everton have already dropped points in four separate league fixtures. The interesting wrinkle here is tempo. Arsenal have been grinding out results as much as blowing teams away lately, while Everton under Moyes have built their season on stubborn defending rather than goals, which sets up a match that could be tighter defensively than the odds suggest, even if the final scoreline favors the hosts.
Bukayo Saka has been directly involved in attacking returns across every one of his last four appearances and remains the player most likely to unlock a deep Everton block. On the other side, Jack Grealish has quietly become Everton’s main creative outlet, and his ability to draw fouls and buy his side set pieces could matter against an Arsenal defense that sometimes switches off from dead-ball situations.
Hot stat: Arsenal have scored eight goals across their last five matches while conceding only two, a number that stands in stark contrast to Everton, who have managed just two goals of their own in the same span and have now failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last five outings.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Emirates Stadium, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Arsenal vs Everton prediction
We predict a comfortable Arsenal win here, though perhaps not a landslide. Arsenal’s home form has been built on patience rather than fireworks this season, and Everton’s recent record of conceding tight, low-event losses suggests another narrow defeat rather than a blowout. Our team leans toward Arsenal winning by two clear goals, with the hosts dominating possession and shots without necessarily needing a flood of goals to get the job done.
Arsenal’s numbers from their last five matches show a side that commits fouls sparingly (39 in five games) and keeps the ball with real control, hitting roughly 88% pass accuracy. Everton foul less in raw terms too, but their accuracy drops below 85%, and they have struggled to string together phases of possession against better sides. That gap in control usually translates into territorial dominance for Arsenal, which should produce a stream of corners and shots rather than a back-and-forth affair.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Arsenal win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Arsenal’s last five results read draw, win, win, win, loss, with the 0-3 defeat at Brighton now looking like an outlier rather than a trend. The 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich was their most recent outing, a game where Arteta’s side matched one of Europe’s best attacking units but got caught out defensively on two occasions. In our preview of Bayern Munich vs Arsenal we backed goals at both ends with Bayern edging a tight affair, and the 2-2 scoreline delivered on the BTTS and over 2.5 goals call even if the exact winner missed. Before that, Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest, Lille, and Leeds in succession, scoring six and conceding only two across those three games, a run that points to a side finding rhythm again after the Brighton blip.
Everton’s form has gone the other way. Their last five results show a loss, a draw, two wins, and another draw, with the most recent outing a 0-2 defeat at home to Chelsea. In our preview of Everton vs Chelsea we called a Chelsea win with goals at both ends, and the result only landed halfway: Chelsea did win as expected, but Everton never found the net and the game stayed under 2.5 goals. That inability to score against a well-organized defense is the same issue likely to resurface against an Arsenal backline that has conceded just five goals in seven league matches this season.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Arsenal | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 4 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Arsenal vs Everton stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the favourite
- Moneyline Arsenal 1.35 | Everton 8.00
- Draw 4.50
The market has this match priced heavily in Arsenal’s favor, and the numbers back that up. Arsenal are unbeaten in six of their last seven league matches, while Everton have won just two of their last seven. A price around 1.35 on Arsenal feels short but fair given the form gap, and the draw at 4.50 looks like the only realistic way bettors can get value on anything other than a home win. We see little reason to fight the market sentiment here beyond picking our own line on the margin of victory.
Possible Starting Lineups
Arsenal possible starting eleven
- GK: David Raya
- DF: Ben White, Gabriel, Jurriën Timber, Myles Lewis-Skelly
- MF: Declan Rice, Martín Zubimendi
- MF/FW: Bukayo Saka, Martin Odegaard, Eberechi Eze
- FW: Viktor Gyökeres
Arteta sticks with his favored 4-2-3-1, leaning on the Rice-Zubimendi pivot to control midfield while Odegaard and Eze rotate behind Gyökeres. Saka remains the player to watch wide right, given his direct involvement in goals across almost every recent appearance.
Everton possible starting eleven
- GK: Jordan Pickford
- DF: James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Jake O’Brien, Vitaliy Mykolenko
- MF: James Garner, Christian Nørgaard
- MF/FW: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Harrison Armstrong, Jack Grealish
- FW: Thierno Barry
Moyes also fields a 4-2-3-1, prioritizing a compact double pivot of Garner and Nørgaard to shield the back four. Grealish gets the nod in the attacking midfield three given his ability to draw fouls and create in tight spaces, something Everton will need plenty of against Arsenal’s press.
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Everton. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Arsenal should have enough quality and control to see off an Everton side that has struggled to score against anyone outside the bottom half of the table. The hosts have conceded just five goals in seven league games and have scored eight in their last five alone, a combination that points to a clean sheet win rather than a shootout. Everton’s away form under Moyes has been built on discipline rather than goals, and we expect that same pattern to hold at the Emirates. Our punters team is backing Arsenal to win to nil, with the total goals staying under 3.5 and the match finishing with a double-digit corner count given how much territory Arsenal are likely to dominate.
Read Also: Arsenal vs Everton Predicted Line-ups and Team News Ahead of 24 Oct 2026: Both Expected XIs
