Levi Rothermund
Arka Gdynia hosts Termalica B-B. in a late-season Poland Ekstraklasa match that carries real implications at the bottom of the table. Both teams have struggled for consistency, but there’s an undercurrent of unpredictability—Termalica recently showed they can snatch a surprise result, while Arka’s home form remains a question. Kamil Zapolnik’s recent finishing for Termalica gives them a threat, and Arka’s Dawid Kocyla offers dynamism in midfield, often sparking their best moments. Between the posts, Jedrzej Grobelny for Arka and Adrián Chovan for Termalica will be tested, given the defensive vulnerabilities both sides have shown.
Arka Gdynia’s defense has allowed 55 goals this season, but their last two matches ended in draws against top-three teams. That’s the “hot stat”—two points gained in matches where few expected any. Termalica, by contrast, just broke a four-game losing streak, highlighting their patchy but occasionally potent attack.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Poland Ekstraklasa 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion GOSiR, Gdynia |
| 🗓️ Date: | 18.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Arka Gdynia vs Termalica B-B. prediction
We think Arka Gdynia to win is the best value. Arka are at home, desperate for points, and have drawn with strong opponents recently, suggesting a lift in their level. Termalica’s away form is concerning, and their defense has shipped 61 goals, the worst in the league. The bookmakers agree—Arka have the shortest odds, and that lines up with our punters’ views. Neither side is prolific, so a low-scoring match looks probable. Termalica’s discipline could be a liability, with yellow cards and fouls stacking up, while Arka’s ball progression depends on midfield energy but is often undermined by turnovers. Expect a physical game with plenty of stoppages, not much fluidity, and a result decided by mistakes rather than brilliance.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Under 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Arka Gdynia’s recent run is all about scraping points by staying compact. Their last match was a gritty 0-0 draw against Gornik Zabrze, where defensive focus trumped attacking intent. Before that, they held title-chasing Lech Poznan 1-1, showing tactical discipline but little ambition. The squad is short on goals—the last five matches saw only two for Arka. Still, players like Kocyla and Hermoso offer flashes of attacking intent. Defensive lapses are frequent, but lately, the team has tightened up at the back, prioritizing safety first.
Termalica B-B. snapped a bad run by beating Zaglebie 2-1 a couple of matches ago but immediately slipped back with heavy defeats. Their latest was a 0-1 home loss to Legia, where the attack faltered and only produced a handful of real chances. Kamil Zapolnik stands out as a forward who can create from nothing, but the team lacks cohesion. Defensive frailties persist, with the team conceding 61 times this season. Termalica’s midfield, with players like Hilbrycht and Ambrosiewicz, can hold the ball but often lacks penetration. Fouls and cards are a concern, and frustration shows when they go behind.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Arka Gdynia | Termalica B-B. |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 5 |
| Total shots | 43 | 56 |
| Free kicks | 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks | 18 | 21 |
| Total fouls | 46 | 48 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 71 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 45 | 23 |
| Offsides | 4 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Arka Gdynia vs Termalica B-B. stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Arka Gdynia the favourite
- Moneyline Arka Gdynia 1.65 | Termalica B-B. 4.25
- Draw 4.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.80
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.98 | No 1.75
The home win odds are quite short, reflecting Arka’s edge—bookies and punters see them as favourites, and with their improved defensive displays, that’s fair. The odds for under 2.5 goals are almost as low as the home win, hinting at low expectations for attacking output. Both teams to score is priced as a coin flip, but Termalica’s recent bluntness and Arka’s focus on defense make “No” the better shout. Draw is a remote possibility, but both need points too much to settle for that without a fight.
Termalica B-B. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Arka Gdynia possible starting eleven
- GK: Jedrzej Grobelny
- DF: Michał Marcjanik, Marc Navarro, Kike Hermoso, Dawid Gojny
- MF: Dawid Kocyla, Sebastian Kerk, kamil jakubczyk, Aurelien Nguiamba
- FW: Vladislavs Gutkovskis, Patryk Szysz
This lineup is built from those with the most minutes recently. Grobelny is the clear choice in goal. The back four stays steady, with Marcjanik and Hermoso as anchors. Midfield rotation is common, but Kocyla and Kerk get the nod for creativity. Up front, Gutkovskis and Szysz offer pace and physicality, though goals have been scarce. The formation is expected to be a 4-2-3-1, relying on discipline rather than flair. Kike Hermoso’s threat on set pieces and Kocyla’s work rate will be important.
Termalica B-B. possible starting eleven
- GK: Adrián Chovan
- DF: Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz, Isik Gabriel, Lucas Masoero, Radu Boboc
- MF: Maciej Ambrosiewicz, Damian Hilbrycht, Igor Strzalek, Rafał Kurzawa
- FW: Kamil Zapolnik, Ivan Durdov
Chovan has started most recently in goal. The defensive quartet is largely settled, though cohesion remains an issue. Ambrosiewicz and Hilbrycht anchor the midfield; both are prone to fouls. Up front, Zapolnik’s finishing and Durdov’s movement give Termalica a puncher’s chance. The 4-2-3-1 formation is probable, but the midfield can get stretched, so defensive cover is a concern. Hilbrycht’s set-piece delivery and Zapolnik’s poaching instincts will be key for any upset hopes.
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Arka Gdynia. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We think Arka Gdynia edges this with a narrow win, probably 1-0. Their recent form against better opposition shows resilience, and Termalica’s defense is just too shaky away from home. Expect a scrappy contest, not much flowing play, and a result shaped by set pieces and defensive errors. Under 2.5 goals and both teams not to score look like solid bets. Honestly, the gap in defensive organization is likely to prove decisive.
