Sofia Quijada
The Copa America Femenina 2025 enters its penultimate showdown as Argentina (w) locks horns with Uruguay (w) in the highly anticipated Third Place fixture. Set on the grand stage of Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in Quito, this clash will kick off on August 2, 2025, at 03:00 CEST. For both sides, this match is not merely about securing a podium finish but also about ending their tournament with pride and momentum.
Under the tactical tutelage of Germán Portanova, Argentina (w) have shown an impressive trajectory through the competition, while Ariel Longo’s Uruguay (w) have demonstrated grit, particularly evident in their resilient defensive displays. The duel promises intensity, with seasoned players on both sides Florencia Bonsegundo, who has led Argentina’s frontline with flair, and forward Wendy Naiely Carballo Rosa of Uruguay, whose quick movements and clinical finishing may tilt the balance.
In their five most recent matches, Argentina (w) have produced a “hot stat”: 4 victories with 7 goals scored, yielding an 80% win rate an indicator of their effective attacking structure and resolve under pressure.
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Argentina (w) vs Uruguay (w) predictions
My best bet: Argentina (w) to win. The Albicelestes have showcased more discipline and cohesion in both defensive and midfield lines compared to Uruguay (w). Their most recent contest a narrow 1-0 victory for Argentina reflects not only the closeness of these sides but also Argentina’s greater efficiency.
Analyzing team styles, Argentina demonstrates a controlled approach, averaging 77% pass accuracy across their last five matches, combined with disciplined ball recovery (56 interceptions) and a moderate 10 yellow cards. Uruguay (w), while also favoring a balanced 4-4-2 setup, have shown a more physical game amassing 13 yellow cards and recording higher foul numbers (73 total). Ball possession may be divided, but expect Argentina’s ability to maintain passing rhythm and build through midfield to exert gradual control.
The aggressive intensity from Uruguay (w) may lead to more set-piece opportunities for Argentina. Both teams will be wary of disciplinary risks; Uruguay’s higher card count could be a turning point, especially against a side that capitalizes on mistakes.
- ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5
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Argentina (w) vs Uruguay (w) Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Argentina (w) | Uruguay (w) |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 88 | 70 |
| Free kicks | 15 | 21 |
| Corner kicks | 15 | 21 |
| Total fouls | 77 | 73 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 77 | 68 |
| Interceptions | 56 | 67 |
| Offsides | 11 | 5 |
In recent encounters, Argentina (w) narrowly defeated Uruguay (w) 1-0 during the group stage, extending a pattern of hard-fought, tightly contested matches. Uruguay did manage a 2-0 win in a pre-tournament friendly, but in competitive settings, Argentina’s tactical discipline and ability to thrive in crucial moments have often made the difference.
🚨Read our full Argentina (w) vs Uruguay (w) stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Argentina (w) have scored in each of their last 5 matches, while keeping 2 clean sheets.
- Uruguay (w) have seen under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 official matches.
- Argentina (w) average 17.6 shots per match ample attacking output.
- Uruguay (w) lead with 21 corners in their last 5 outings offering threat from set-pieces.
- Both teams have not recorded a red card in their last 5 matches discipline is notable outside of yellow-heavy contests.
Argentina (w) vs Uruguay (w) score prediction: 1-0
Expect a closely contested match with few opportunities converted. Argentina’s Florencia Bonsegundo, a standout with 3 goals in 5 matches, is poised to make an impact, while Uruguay’s Wendy Naiely Carballo Rosa offers a consistent threat in transition. However, Argentina’s superior midfield organization and ability to control tempo should see them edge a narrow victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Argentina (w) the favourite
| Moneyline | Argentina (w) 1.66 | Uruguay (w) 4.50 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.55 |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.15 | Under 2.5 1.70 |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.31 | No 1.60 |
The odds position Argentina (w) as clear favorites, reflecting their recent head-to-head dominance and higher tournament form. The value on Under 2.5 goals (1.70) is justified given both sides’ defensive rigidity in previous crucial matches. With the likelihood of a tight contest, the draw is moderately plausible but less likely given Argentina’s knack for seizing decisive moments.
Argentina (w) vs Uruguay (w) Over/Under Analysis
- Both teams have kept matches largely under 2.5 goals in recent competitive fixtures a trend likely to continue in this high-stakes setting.
- Argentina (w) have not conceded more than one goal in any match this tournament except versus Colombia, a match known for its attacking chaos.
- Uruguay (w) matches tend toward lower scores, aside from their defeat to Brazil.
- Strong defensive structures and tactical discipline on both sides reinforce the value on Under 2.5 goals.
Argentina (w) Preview
Argentina (w) arrive invigorated, bouncing back strongly after their 4-5 fight against Colombia (w). With four wins in their last five matches, their ability to craft quick transitions and maintain compact defensive shapes has set them apart. Notably, the partnership between Daiana Falfan in midfield and Bonsegundo in attack gives Argentina versatility and directness.
Argentina (w) possible starting eleven:
- GK: Solana Pereyra
- DF: Sophia Braun, Aldana Cometti, Eliana Stábile, Adriana Sachs
- MF: Daiana Falfan, Maricel Pereyra, Evelyn Sofía Domínguez Acuña, Virginia Leonor Gómez
- FW: Florencia Bonsegundo, Yamila Rodriguez
Uruguay (w) Preview
Uruguay (w) faced a heavy 1-5 defeat versus Brazil (w) but responded with a strong win against Chile (3-0) and a narrow victory over Peru (1-0). Their defense, normally robust, struggled against top-tier attacking sides, yet the pace and quality of Carballo Rosa and B. Aquino means Uruguay can threaten on the break. Maintaining discipline and avoiding early cards will be pivotal.
Uruguay (w) possible starting eleven:
- GK: Agustina Sánchez Miranda
- DF: Stephanie Lacoste, Carina Felipe, Daiana Yasmín Farías Aldacour, Juliana Viera Alzueta
- MF: Ximena Velazco, E. Pizarro, Pilar González González, C. González
- FW: Wendy Naiely Carballo Rosa, B. Aquino
Uruguay (w). Source: Official Website
The Verdict
As the TipsGG team of experts, we forecast Argentina (w) to secure third place in this tournament with a 62 percent winning probability as determined by our dedicated AI prediction engine. Their defensive discipline, higher shot production, and tactical superiority should be decisive in a tight encounter. Uruguay (w), spirited and capable, could challenge via counterattacks, yet Argentina’s organizational coherence is likely to set the tone.
How to watch Argentina (w) vs Uruguay (w)
When?
Kick-off: August 2, 2025, at 03:00 CEST
Where?
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
How to watch: Official Copa America Femenina broadcasters, reputable sports streaming services, and local television partners.
Favorite: Argentina (w)
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