Sofia Quijada
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Argentina host Uruguay at Estadio Alberto J. Armando in Buenos Aires in a November international friendly. The hosts arrive in strong shape, having won all three of their recent matches, while Uruguay have taken only two wins from their last eight outings this year. Bookmakers make Argentina clear favourites, and the market expects a comfortable home win.
Scaloni’s side has scored freely in this run, and the fixture gives them a chance to test their attack against a Uruguay side that has conceded in most of its recent games.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026 (November) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Argentina vs Uruguay prediction
We predict Argentina to win by two or more goals. The home side has won 14 of 15 matches this year, and their last three results read 3-0, 7-0 and 4-0. Uruguay have not kept a clean sheet in their recent run, and their defence leaked six against India and four against South Korea. Argentina should break through against a side that concedes regularly, so a handicap view gives better value than the straight win at around 1.52 to 1.60.
Uruguay’s recent results point to an open game. Their attacking output includes a 6-1 win over India and a 4-1 win over South Korea, so they still create chances. We expect Argentina to control possession and pass through the middle, which should force Uruguay into long stretches without the ball. Expect a match with plenty of goals, but Argentina’s defensive record in recent fixtures suggests Uruguay will struggle to score more than once.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Argentina to win by two or more goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Argentina have dominated their recent schedule. Their most recent match ended 3-0 against Benin, and they kept the same level of control in previous fixtures against Burkina Faso and Bolivia. Their attack has been the main strength, and the win rate of 100% over the last 30 days underlines a side in form. Scaloni will likely rotate the squad only slightly, so the home team should maintain its pressure from the start.
Uruguay have been inconsistent. Their most recent match ended 6-1 against India, a result that showed a sharp attack, but the earlier 2-2 draw with Cape Verde and the 1-3 defeat to Japan point to defensive lapses. Diego Forlán’s side has won only two of eight matches this year, so they need a disciplined performance to contain the hosts. To be honest, their away form does not inspire confidence against a team that scores as often as Argentina.
🚨Check out our dedicated Argentina vs Uruguay stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Argentina the favourite
- Moneyline Argentina 1.52 | Uruguay 6.00
- Draw 4.00
The bookmakers price Argentina at around 59% implied probability, and the odds reflect their home advantage and recent scoring form. Uruguay at 6.00 offers little value unless the match turns into a low-scoring contest, which we consider unlikely given Argentina’s attacking record. The draw at 4.00 carries more risk than the home win, so the favourite is the safer pick on the moneyline.
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Uruguay. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Argentina to beat Uruguay by a margin of two goals, with a likely scoreline of 3-1. Argentina’s home form, goal output and clean recent defensive spells outweigh Uruguay’s mixed results. The hot tip carries the best value, and we back the over 2.5 goals line as the most reliable companion bet. Expect the hosts to press from the start and create enough openings to settle the game before the break.
Read Also: Argentina vs Uruguay Predicted Line-ups and Team News: Both Expected XIs
Read Also: Argentina vs Uruguay Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form (Updated November 2026)
