Liam Duckstein
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Andorra welcome Malta to open their League D Group 1 campaign in a fixture that rarely produces fireworks but often decides who avoids the group’s bottom spot. Both sides arrive with modest recent records, and the head-to-head history between these two nations leans slightly toward the visitors. Andorra have struggled to find the net at home in recent years, while Malta come into this one carrying a bit more momentum after a rare win against Azerbaijan. We predict a cagey, low-event match where a single goal could settle everything.
Marc Vales remains the leader of the Andorra backline and his positioning will be tested by Malta’s wide runners all evening. For Malta, Teddy Teuma pulls the strings in midfield and his set-piece delivery could prove decisive given how tight this contest is expected to be.
Hot stat: Andorra have won just once in their last five outings, a 2-0 result over Liechtenstein, and have scored only two goals across those five matches combined, a number that says everything about their attacking output heading into this one.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27 – League D Group 1 |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Andorra vs Malta prediction
Our best value angle here is Malta on the Double Chance line covering both a draw and a win. Malta have shown slightly more spark going forward this year, winning one of their last four and scoring in each of their two most recent matches, while Andorra have gone long stretches without troubling opposing goalkeepers at all. Backing Malta not to lose gives a reasonable cushion against the draw that bookmakers already rate as a live outcome at 34%.
Neither team plays with much risk in possession. Andorra tend to sit deep and rely on quick transitions, which explains why so many of their recent matches finished 0-0, 0-1 or 0-2. Malta press a bit higher under Emilio De Leo but still concede space in behind, something that has cost them against stronger opposition. With both sides cautious in the middle third, expect a match with moderate fouls, a handful of bookings and few clear-cut chances, conditions that usually keep the goal count low.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Malta Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Andorra’s form has been rough for a long stretch, and their most recent match against Kosovo summed it up well, a 0-3 defeat where they struggled to keep pace defensively. Before that they beat Liechtenstein 2-0, their only win in five, then lost 0-1 to Iraq and drew 0-0 with San Marino. This year Andorra have played five matches and won only one, a 20% win rate that mirrors their long-term struggles at this level.
Malta head into this fixture on a slightly better note. Their last match, a 2-0 win over Azerbaijan, snapped a run of results that included a 1-2 loss to Slovakia and back-to-back 0-3 and 0-2 defeats to Luxembourg. That win over Azerbaijan stands out because it came after four matches without a victory, and it gives Malta a touch of confidence heading to Bergen. Their year overall reads four matches, one win, a 25% rate that is marginally ahead of Andorra’s.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides met twice in the previous Nations League cycle, with Malta edging the series. The first meeting finished level, the second went Malta’s way 0-1, giving them the head-to-head edge going into this rematch.
| Statistic | Andorra | Malta |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Andorra vs Malta stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Malta the favourite
- Moneyline Andorra 3.60 | Malta 2.40
- Draw 2.70
The market puts Malta as clear favourites here, and to be honest the pricing lines up with what we have seen from both squads recently. Andorra’s odds above 3.60 reflect just how rarely they win matches at this level, while Malta’s price under 2.50 shows the bookmakers trust their slightly sharper attacking output. The draw at 2.70 stays live given how tight most of these Nations League minnow clashes tend to be, and we would not be shocked if this one finishes level.
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Malta. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Malta go into this one carrying more attacking threat and a head-to-head edge, and we lean toward them avoiding defeat here. Andorra’s home form has been thin for a while, with just one win in five, and their scoring problems suggest they will find it hard to break down a Malta side that has started to find its footing again. We expect a tight, low-scoring affair, perhaps a single-goal Malta win or a scoreless stalemate, with the double chance and under 2.5 goals lines standing out as our preferred routes into this match.
