Liam Duckstein
Anderlecht and Hammarby meet at Lotto Park in Brussels for the second leg of their UEFA Europa League Second Qualifying Round tie. The first leg in Stockholm ended 1-1, meaning everything is still open. Vítor Bruno’s side will need to improve significantly at home after a mixed domestic pre-season, while Henrik Rydström’s Hammarby arrive with real momentum from the Swedish top flight.
Danylo Sikan is the standout name for Anderlecht right now. The Ukrainian striker scored both of the club’s goals across their last two recorded matches and looks like the primary source of attacking threat in a 4-3-3 setup that has otherwise been quiet in front of goal. For Hammarby, Montader Madjed is the player to watch. He has registered three goals in six recent appearances and consistently leads the press from the front, creating chaos for opposing defensive lines.
Hot stat: Hammarby have scored 11 goals across their last five matches, averaging 2.2 per game, while their opponents managed just 2 across the same period.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27 – Second Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Lotto Park, Brussels |
| 🗓️ Date: | 30.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:30 CEST |
Anderlecht vs Hammarby Prediction
The tie is level after the first leg, and Anderlecht need a win to progress at home. The problem is their form this year tells a worrying story. They have won just 9 of 29 matches in 2026, a 31% win rate. Hammarby, by contrast, have won 16 of 27 this year, a 59% win rate, and have not lost in their last five outings.
We predict Hammarby to score in this match. They have been clinical in front of goal, and Anderlecht’s defensive structure has been porous at times. The first leg showed Hammarby are more than capable of creating chances against this side. A draw or Hammarby win looks like the more probable outcome based on the data.
Anderlecht average just 12 total shots across their last five matches as a collective, with 4 corner kicks. Their pass data is largely absent from the feed, which suggests their attacking build-up has not been particularly structured. Hammarby, by comparison, averaged 21.6 shots per game, 8 corner kicks per game, and completed passes at a high volume across the same period. Their 44 fouls in five games show they press aggressively, which may draw free kicks in dangerous areas against Anderlecht’s backline.
Anderlecht’s Ludwig Augustinsson has already picked up 2 yellow cards in recent matches, and with Hammarby’s direct forwards pressing high, discipline could be an issue for the Belgian side’s defenders in a must-win tie.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hammarby Double Chance (Draw or Hammarby Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Anderlecht’s recent results paint a picture of inconsistency. They drew 1-1 with Hammarby in the first leg, beat AZ Alkmaar 1-0 in a friendly, and beat Nijmegen 3-2 before that. Before those wins, they drew 0-0 with Boulogne and suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat to Royale Union SG. That loss to their Belgian rivals is a red flag. Conceding five goals at home to a domestic opponent suggests structural problems at the back that Hammarby will look to exploit.
Hammarby’s form coming into this second leg is strong. They drew 1-1 with Brommapojkarna in their most recent Allsvenskan match, but before that they beat Degerfors 4-0, Kalmar 2-0, and Elfsborg 2-1. Their attacking depth is clear, with Paulos Abraham also contributing three goals in six matches to complement Madjed’s output. The squad looks settled and confident, which is a significant factor in a knockout tie played over two legs.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Anderlecht | Hammarby |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Total shots | 12 | 108 |
| Free kicks | 0 | 37 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 40 |
| Total fouls | 0 | 44 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 0 | 2354 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 35 |
| Offsides | 0 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Anderlecht vs Hammarby stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Anderlecht the Narrow Favourite
- Moneyline Anderlecht 2.15 | Hammarby 3.15
- Draw 3.40
- Over/Under Over 2.5 – available | Under 2.5 – available
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes | No
The bookmakers make Anderlecht a narrow favourite at around 2.15, which reflects their home advantage more than their actual form. Hammarby at roughly 3.15 looks like fair value given their superior win rate in 2026 and their attacking output. The draw odds around 3.40 also carry some appeal. To be honest, the market slightly overrates Anderlecht here based purely on the name and the home setting. Hammarby’s form deserves more respect.
Anderlecht. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Anderlecht Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Colin Coosemans
- DF: Ali Maamar, Giulian Biancone, Leo Petrot, Ludwig Augustinsson
- MF: Enric Llansana, Marco Kana, Nathan-Dylan Saliba
- FW: Tristan Degreef, Danylo Sikan, Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Anderlecht are expected to line up in their familiar 4-3-3 shape. Colin Coosemans gets the nod in goal based on playing time data. The back four picks itself, with Augustinsson at left back despite his yellow card accumulation. Danylo Sikan leads the line and is the most important player in this squad right now. His two goals in recent matches make him the only reliable goal threat Vítor Bruno has to call upon. Nathan-Dylan Saliba brings energy from midfield and has logged significant minutes.
Hammarby Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Warner Hahn
- DF: Hampus Skoglund, Frederik Franck Winther, Victor Eriksson, Noah Karl Anders Persson
- MF: Nahir Besara, Tesfaldet Tekie, Markus Karlsson, Frank Junior Adjei
- FW: Montader Madjed, Paulos Abraham
Hammarby set up in a 4-2-3-1 or a narrow 4-4-2 depending on the phase of play. Warner Hahn is the clear starter between the posts with five saves in recent matches. The defensive pairing of Winther and Skoglund has been consistent, with Winther logging 535 minutes across six appearances. Madjed and Abraham form a dangerous front two, and Markus Karlsson’s creativity from midfield with one assist and 211 passes in six games adds another dimension. Victor Lind, who has one goal and two assists in six appearances, provides additional threat from a deeper position and should not be ignored.
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Hammarby. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
This second leg is far from a formality for Anderlecht. Their 31% win rate in 2026 against Hammarby’s 59% is a stark contrast, and the first leg showed the Swedish side can match their Belgian opponents in quality. Hammarby’s attacking volume, 108 total shots and 40 corners across their last five games, dwarfs what Anderlecht have produced in the same period.
Anderlecht will push forward given they are playing at home in a tie that is level on aggregate. That could open space for Hammarby on the counter, and with Madjed and Abraham both in form, they will punish any mistakes. We predict both teams to score, with the match ending in a draw or a narrow Hammarby win. The Hammarby Double Chance market offers the best value in this fixture, and Over 2.5 goals looks well-supported by both teams’ recent tendencies in front of goal.
