Rafael Nogueira
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Anapolis host Guarani at Estadio Municipal Jonas Duarte on 11 August in what is a critical Série C fixture. The table gap between these two sides tells the story: Guarani sit top of the standings with 25 points from 13 games, while Anapolis are rooted in last place with just 7 points from 11. The last time they met, in the 2025 edition of this same competition, Anapolis claimed a 2-0 home win, so the hosts know they can hurt Guarani on their own patch.
Guarani’s Matheus Bueno has been one of the most productive attackers in the division this season, contributing to a side that has scored 27 goals in 13 league games. For Anapolis, striker Guilherme Queiroz has been the focal point of a limited attack, and his ability to hold the ball and create space will be key if the hosts are to cause an upset. A hot stat worth noting: Guarani demolished Amazonas 5-0 in their most recent home fixture, signalling a side currently in a dominant phase of their campaign.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série C 2026, Regular Season |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Anapolis vs Guarani Prediction
Guarani are the clear value pick here. They lead the Série C table, carry a 45% win rate across all competitions this year, and have won 7 of their 13 league games. Anapolis, by contrast, have won just 2 of their 11 league fixtures and sit bottom of the division. The home advantage that helped Anapolis win 2-0 in last year’s head-to-head is a factor, but Jeff Strasser’s squad is significantly weaker this season by standings and form.
Guarani’s 5-3-2 setup presses high and commits numbers forward, which suits a match against a side that struggles to build from the back. Anapolis in their 4-4-2 tend to be compact but have conceded 16 goals in 11 league games, suggesting they are vulnerable to a patient, possession-based attack. Guarani average over 2 goals per league game this season, and Anapolis have failed to score in four of their last five matches. We predict Guarani to win and both teams are unlikely to score, with Guarani collecting the clean sheet.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Guarani to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Anapolis have struggled badly in 2026. Their last five competitive matches before this one show a side that has conceded heavily and scored rarely. Their only bright result in recent weeks was a 4-1 win over Volta Redonda, the second-bottom side in the league, which flatters their form. Before that, they lost 0-1 to Maringa, 0-2 to Botafogo PB, 0-1 to Amazonas, and 0-4 to Paysandu. That run of four consecutive defeats, each without scoring, underlines a serious attacking deficiency. In the last 30 days, Anapolis have won once and lost twice from three matches, a 33% win rate that matches their season average of 34% across 35 games in all competitions.
Guarani arrive in form. Their last five league outings produced wins over Inter de Limeira (3-1), SER Caxias (2-1), and Amazonas (5-0), a draw with Floresta (0-0), and a narrow 2-3 loss to Paysandu. That defeat to Paysandu is the one blot, but Elio Sizenando’s side responded immediately with a 3-1 win. Over the last 30 days, Guarani have also recorded a 33% win rate from three games, though their season win rate of 45% across 22 matches is notably stronger than Anapolis’s. Their goal tally of 27 in 13 league games, a rate of over two per match, makes them the most potent attack in the division.
🚨Check out our dedicated Anapolis vs Guarani stats page for more info.
Guarani. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
The head-to-head record gives Anapolis one notable data point in their favour: that 2-0 home win in the 2025 Série C. Bookmakers gave Guarani only a slight edge in that fixture (35% vs 33%), suggesting the sides were considered close. This season, the gap has widened considerably. Guarani are top of the table with a goal difference of +15; Anapolis are bottom with -7. Anapolis’s attacking output has dried up almost completely in recent weeks, and Guarani’s 5-3-2 shape with its high press will make it difficult for the hosts to even establish possession in dangerous areas.
We predict a Guarani win, with the visitors likely to keep a clean sheet given Anapolis’s recent inability to score. Under 2.5 total goals reflects the defensive shape Anapolis will set up with, and a corners market above 8.5 is backed by Guarani’s tendency to dominate territory and force play wide.
- Match Result: Guarani Win
- Total Goals: Under 2.5
- Both Teams To Score: No
- Hot Tip: Guarani to win to nil
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