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Ameliano vs Recoleta Prediction: 11.05.2026 Paraguayan Primera Division 2026 Apertura Preview

10.05.2026, 10:31

Ameliano and Recoleta clash in a crucial Paraguayan Primera Division 2026 Apertura encounter at Estadio Ameliano Villeta. Both teams share identical win rates over the last month, but Ameliano, unbeaten in their last four and currently sitting fourth, push for a top-three finish. Recoleta’s attack looks sharper on recent form. Watch for Ameliano’s forward Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez, who’s scored twice and assisted once in the last five matches, and Recoleta’s Allan Steven Wlk Duré, netting four in his last five—these two could define the game. Hot stat: Recoleta fired nine goals in their last five matches, almost double Ameliano’s tally over the same period.

16:45Finished11.05.2026
3AmelianoParaguay
2RecoletaParaguay

🏆 Tournament: Paraguayan Primera Division 2026 Apertura (Regular Season)
🏟 Venue: Estadio Ameliano Villeta, Naranjaisy
🗓️ Date: 11.05.2026
⏰ Time: 22:45 CEST

Ameliano vs Recoleta prediction

We predict a draw as the best value bet for this match. Both teams display almost identical win rates in recent weeks and share a recent 1-1 head-to-head result. Ameliano’s home advantage and unbeaten recent run counter Recoleta’s higher goal output and slightly superior world club ranking. With both sides averaging just under two goals per game and neither dominating defensively, a tight contest with both teams scoring is likely.

Both teams commit over 10 fouls per match and receive plenty of yellow cards—expect a stop-start game with frequent set-piece chances. Recoleta’s ball movement has been a touch more precise, with a higher recent pass accuracy and shot tally. Corners should be plentiful, especially for Recoleta (20 corners in last five), while Ameliano’s attack tends to rely on more direct play.

🔥Hot Tip: Draw & Both Teams To Score
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Ameliano’s last four games yielded three draws and a narrow win, showing their resilience but also a lack of finishing edge. Their latest match, a 1-1 home draw against league leaders Olimpia Asuncion, showcased defensive solidity and good midfield ball retention, with key contributions from Vera Brítez up front.

08:30Finished03.05.2026
1AmelianoParaguay

Recoleta have been involved in higher-scoring, more open matches, evidenced by a 1-1 draw with Santos and a notable 2-1 victory over Cerro Porteno. Their most recent fixtures highlight offensive confidence, with Wlk Duré emerging as a reliable finisher.

20:30Finished05.05.2026
1RecoletaParaguay
1SantosBrazil

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Ameliano Recoleta
Goals 5 9
Total shots 31 48
Free kicks 13 20
Corner kicks 13 20
Total fouls 49 54
Pass accuracy (%) 82.2 80.0
Interceptions 40 43
Offsides 11 8

🚨Check out our dedicated Ameliano vs Recoleta stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ameliano the favourite

  • Moneyline Ameliano 2.05 | Recoleta 3.25
  • Draw 3.10
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 2.15 | Under 2.5 1.70
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.80 | No 1.90

Bookmakers slightly favour Ameliano due to home advantage and defensive discipline. The draw price stands out for value, given both teams’ recent form and goal patterns. Over 2.5 goals appears attractively priced, with Recoleta’s recent attacking displays tipping the total towards the over. Both teams to score is a strong market, based on recent head-to-heads and current form.

Recoleta. Source: Official Facebook

Recoleta. Source: Official Facebook

Possible Starting Lineups

Ameliano possible starting eleven

  • GK: Miguel Martinez
  • DF: Julio González, Miguel Benitez, Luca Andrea Falabella, Fabián Franco
  • MF: Alberto Contrera, Jonathan Daniel Benítez Benítez, Valentin Larralde, Luis María Ayala Bentos
  • FW: Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez, Raul Ignacio Cabral

This starting eleven features the most consistent performers from recent matches, with Falabella anchoring the defense and Vera Brítez and Cabral forming a direct, physical forward line. The 4-4-2 shape gives Ameliano width and balance. Vera Brítez remains the clear danger man, while Larralde’s ball progression will be vital in transitions.

Recoleta possible starting eleven

  • GK: N. Ferreira
  • DF: Facundo Ariel Echeguren Zarza, Nicolas Marotta, Luis Cardozo, Dairon Mosquera
  • MF: Wilfrido Baez, Junior Noguera, José Espínola, Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán, Juan Franco
  • FW: Allan Steven Wlk Duré

Recoleta’s likely 4-1-4-1 system places Wlk Duré as the lone striker, supported by a dynamic, hard-running midfield. Marotta’s discipline and Noguera’s creativity shape the team’s spine. Wlk Duré’s current form makes him the main threat. Defensive options remain experienced, with Ferreira steady in goal.

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Ameliano. Source: Official Facebook

Ameliano. Source: Official Facebook

TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict a 2-2 draw, with both teams scoring and Recoleta’s attack forcing Ameliano to respond. Ameliano’s defensive strength meets Recoleta’s offensive sharpness. A point suits neither side’s ambitions fully, but recent data shows neither team has the decisive edge. To be honest, a draw with goals looks like the best option given the teams’ profiles and recent head-to-heads.

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