An intriguing match awaits at the Arena Amazonia as Amazonas FC take on promotion-chasing Criciuma in the heart of Brazil’s Série B action. With both teams sitting at opposite ends of the table and with markedly different recent forms, this regular season encounter will offer substantial insights for punters and fans alike. One subtle yet compelling angle is how Amazonas—the struggling hosts—have shown moments of resilience at home, while Criciuma’s consistent away performances keep them within touching distance of direct promotion.
Key players to keep an eye on are Amazonas FC’s man-in-form Kevin Ramírez, whose aggressiveness and opportunistic play can turn games for the home side, and Criciuma’s Nicolas Godinho Johann, whose sharp movement and eye for goal have been integral to Criciuma’s attacking schemes. Both men will be pivotal in a match where margins are likely to be thin.
A ‘hot stat’ worth noting: Criciuma have conceded just one defeat in their last six Série B matches establishing themselves as the league’s hard-to-beat side away from home.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2025 (Regular Season, Brazil) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Arena Amazonia, Manaus |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.10.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
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Amazonas FC vs Criciuma prediction
Given current form, squad dynamics, and statistical trends, Criciuma are backed for a narrow win in Manaus. The visitors’ tactical compactness and threatening attack, built around the trio of Godinho Johann, Jhonata Robert, and Diego Gonçalves, contrast sharply with Amazonas FC’s erratic performances and defensive fragility (46 goals conceded in 30 matches, highest in the league).
Amazonas FC’s aggressive forays (26 corners, 12 offsides in the last 5 matches), coupled with a high volume of fouls (64), characterize a desperate team seeking breakthroughs. However, their discipline has faltered—17 yellow cards and a red in recent outings. Criciuma, meanwhile, maintain tactical discipline: just 10 yellows and fewer fouls. The visitors’ higher pass accuracy (78% vs Amazonas’s 64%) indicates superior possession control, a likely determinant for dictating match rhythm and minimizing home advantage.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Criciuma Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Amazonas FC: Despite a home draw with Athletic Club last time out (2-2), the squad continues to struggle defensively, especially against teams who set a quick tempo in transition. With only five goals scored and 17 yellow cards amassed in their last five fixtures, Amazonas have relied on individual bursts—often from Kevin Ramírez and Henrique Almeida. Their previous defeats to Chapecoense and Operario PR highlight lapses in concentration at the back and difficulty controlling matches through midfield. The 3-4-3 system provides width but tends to leave their defensive line exposed, especially when full-backs push high.
Criciuma: Criciuma, in contrast, drew with Vila Nova 1-1 last out after a small aberration—a 2-4 home defeat to lowly Paysandu. Before that, strong wins against Coritiba (2-0) and CRB (1-0) underscored both their attacking potency and defensive organization. Criciuma’s 3-4-2-1 system allows flexible attacking interchanges, often feeding off the intelligent runs of Godinho Johann and the midfield control of Matheus Trindade. Their stats—just 10 yellow cards in five matches, 59 total shots, and an impressive 1,914 passes (78% completion)—demonstrate a team that values possession and discipline.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Amazonas FC | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| Total shots | 15 | 14 |
| Free kicks | 13 | 10 |
| Corner kicks | 6 | 4 |
| Total fouls | 16 | 10 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 61 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 10 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Read our full Amazonas FC vs Criciuma stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Neither side the outright favourite
- Moneyline Amazonas FC 2.72 | Criciuma 2.72
- Draw 3.05
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.38 | Under 2.5 1.58
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.21 | No 1.81
Bookmakers effectively split the odds, recognizing Criciuma’s better form but factoring in Amazonas FC’s occasional resilience at home. The value on Criciuma Draw No Bet appears appealing, given their tactical cohesion, goal-scoring options, and comparative defensive solidity. Under 2.5 also stands out, with both teams trending toward low-scoring affairs—Amazonas averaging just 1 goal per game at home, Criciuma enjoying controlled, methodical build-up rather than taking undue attacking risks.
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Possible Starting Lineups

Amazonas FC possible starting eleven
- GK: João Lopes
- DF: Alexis Alvarino, Carlos Akapo, Nilson Castrillón
- MF: Rafael Tavares, Larry Vásquez, Leonardo Coelho, Guilherme Xavier de Oliveira
- FW: Kevin Ramírez, Henrique Almeida, Joaquin Torres
Expected to line up in a 3-4-3, Amazonas FC will lean on captain Henrique Almeida’s finishing and Ramírez’s unpredictable movement. The wide presence of Castrillón and Coelho may stretch Criciuma but could equally leave spaces at the back for Criciuma’s quick counters. João Lopes’s experience in goal will be vital as the team looks to weather periods of heavy pressure.

Criciuma possible starting eleven
- GK: Alisson
- DF: Rodrigo Fagundes, Luciano Castan, Marcio Almeida de Oliveira
- MF: Matheus Trindade, Luiz Henrique, Jean Carlos, Lucas Vinicius Dias Costa
- FW: Nicolas Godinho Johann, Diego Gonçalves, Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
Criciuma’s 3-4-2-1 should emphasize possession and swift transitions. Godinho Johann, supported by Gonçalves and Robert, forms a mobile attack that excels at exploiting defensive lapses. Rodrigo Fagundes anchors the defense, organizing the back three and contributing on set pieces. The blend of discipline and experience here makes Criciuma slight favorites, particularly when exploiting Amazonas FC’s tendency to overcommit.
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Criciuma. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
The Verdict
My main pick is Criciuma Draw No Bet, with the under 2.5 goals market offering significant value. Criciuma’s structural discipline, stronger midfield, and attacking balance are likely to tip the contest in their favor. Amazonas FC possess individual talent but, unless they dramatically tighten up at the back, the visitors should control the tempo and edge the encounter, possibly with a late goal sealing their promotion credentials.

