Rafael Nogueira
Amazonas FC host Anapolis at Arena Amazonia on June 13, with both clubs sitting in uncomfortable territory in the Série C standings. Amazonas are 8th with 13 points from 9 games, but their form has fallen apart recently: four losses in their last five matches, including a 0-5 demolition at the hands of league leaders Guarani. Anapolis sit bottom of the table in 20th, with just 5 points and a goal difference of -7. The interesting angle here is that Anapolis have been conceding in batches, shipping 4 goals to Paysandu Pa in their last outing, yet they managed a 3-1 win over the same opponent just days earlier, which shows a wildly inconsistent defensive structure. Raphael Lucas has been one of the more active presences in the Amazonas midfield this season, while Matheus Bidu carries the most creative threat for Anapolis going forward.
Hot stat: Amazonas FC have lost four of their last five matches, failing to score in two of those games, including a 0-5 and a 0-1 defeat. Their attack has gone cold at the worst possible time.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série C 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Arena Amazonia, Manaus |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Amazonas FC vs Anapolis Prediction
Despite Amazonas’ poor recent run, they remain the clear favourite here at home, and the odds at 1.59 reflect that. Anapolis have won just once in their last seven away fixtures and have conceded 13 goals in 9 league games this season. Playing at Arena Amazonia, where the home atmosphere and altitude in Manaus can sap visiting teams, Amazonas should have enough to find a win even in their current slump.
Anapolis have drawn three of their last five matches, suggesting a tendency to sit deep and absorb pressure when outmatched. That could keep the scoreline tight, but it is hard to back them to avoid defeat against a home side that still averages over a goal per game in the league. Amazonas’ coach Aderbal Lana will demand a reaction after the Guarani humiliation. Anapolis under Jeff Strasser have committed fouls regularly across their recent games, and that could play into Amazonas’ hands from set pieces, particularly given Anapolis’ tendency to concede from dead-ball situations when under pressure.
- Best bet: Amazonas FC to Win
- Value pick: Amazonas FC Win & Under 3.5 Goals
- Avoid: Both Teams to Score Yes, given Anapolis’ attacking output this season
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Amazonas FC to Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Amazonas FC have hit a wall. Their last five league results read: draw vs SER Caxias (1-1), loss to Figueirense (0-1), loss to Floresta EC (2-3), loss to Ferroviaria (1-2), and a catastrophic 0-5 defeat to Guarani. The Guarani result is the one that stands out most: Guarani entered that match in excellent form (wwwld from their last five), and Amazonas simply had no answer. The 2-3 loss to Floresta EC is arguably the most damaging in context, given that Floresta had been inconsistent themselves. Aderbal Lana’s side scored in three of those five matches, so the attack is not completely muted, but the defensive shape has been too open, conceding 12 goals in 9 league games overall.
Anapolis have been even more erratic. Their last five results include a 0-4 hammering by Paysandu Pa, a 3-1 win over the same side days earlier, a 0-0 draw with Maranhao, a 0-2 loss to Rio Branco ES, and a 0-1 defeat to Brusque. The 3-1 win over Paysandu Pa was their brightest moment recently, but the 0-4 reverse in the very next fixture against the same opponent raises serious questions about their defensive organisation. They have scored just 6 goals in 9 Série C matches and have the joint-worst goal difference in the division. Jeff Strasser’s side need points urgently to escape the relegation zone, but their away record gives little reason for optimism.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
Detailed head-to-head statistical data is limited for this fixture, but based on available league data from both sides’ recent matches, the comparative figures are outlined below.
| Statistic | Amazonas FC | Anapolis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 scored / 12 conceded (last 5) | 3 scored / 8 conceded (last 5) |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
🚨Check out our dedicated Amazonas FC vs Anapolis stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Amazonas FC the Favourite
- Moneyline Amazonas FC 1.59 | Anapolis 5.40
- Draw 3.17
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Amazonas at 1.59 is short given their current form, but the gap in quality between these two sides at home justifies it. The bookmakers’ implied probability of 56% for an Amazonas win feels about right, perhaps even slightly conservative. Anapolis at 5.40 carries some intrigue as a speculative bet only, but their away record and goal-scoring output make it a stretch. The draw at 3.17 is the one to be cautious about: Anapolis have drawn three of their last five fixtures, and if Amazonas continue to struggle in front of goal, a low-scoring draw is not impossible. We still prefer backing the home side to win and keep a clean sheet, given Anapolis’ attacking limitations.
Anapolis. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Amazonas FC Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Marcão
- DF: Renato, Diego Baiano, Eder Lima, Patric
- MF: Raphael Lucas, Emerson, Yago
- FW: Nicolas, Sassá, Danilo Gomes
Amazonas have been lining up in a 4-3-3 shape under Aderbal Lana this season. Raphael Lucas is the player to watch in the middle of the park: he covers ground effectively and is involved in most of Amazonas’ build-up play. Sassá leads the line and will be the focal point against an Anapolis backline that has looked shaky under pressure. With the defensive record in mind, Lana may opt for a more compact midfield to shore things up before going forward.
Anapolis Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Jefferson
- DF: Juninho, Fábio Sanches, Reniê, Douglas
- MF: Matheus Bidu, Claudinho, Léo Mineiro
- FW: Zé Roberto, Gustavo Henrique, Rodriguinho
Jeff Strasser has tended to set Anapolis up in a 4-3-3 or 4-5-1 depending on the opposition. Away from home, a more defensive 4-5-1 is likely here. Matheus Bidu is the most technically capable player in the squad and will be expected to create from wide positions. The defensive unit, particularly Fábio Sanches, has been exposed on multiple occasions this season and will face a tough evening against Amazonas’ forward line if the hosts find their rhythm.
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Amazonas. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
This is a match between two struggling sides, but the gap in their respective situations is clear. Amazonas FC are underperforming relative to their position and talent, while Anapolis are genuinely short on quality at this level. Playing at Arena Amazonia, where the conditions in Manaus are notoriously difficult for visiting clubs, Amazonas should find a way to grind out a win. Their attack has not been clinical lately, but Anapolis concede regularly and have scored just 6 goals all season.
We predict Amazonas FC to win 2-0. The home side bounce back with a clean sheet, driven by the need to recover points after their recent run, and Anapolis fail to test the Amazonas goalkeeper enough to change the outcome. To be honest, the value in Amazonas to Win to Nil at whatever price is available is the sharpest angle in this game.
