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Almeria vs Real Sociedad B Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2 2025/26 Match - 29.03.2026

28.03.2026, 09:56

The Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos will set the stage for a pivotal clash in the La Liga 2 2025/26 regular season as Almeria hosts Real Sociedad B on 29 March 2026, with kick-off slated for 22:00 CEST in Almeria, Spain. As the promotion race intensifies, second-placed Almeria, led by Rubi, are seeking to consolidate their position against Ion Ansotegi’s Real Sociedad B, who sit in 13th but have demonstrated recent upturns in form.

Among the players to watch, Almeria’s Sergio Arribas Calvo, with four goals in his last four appearances, emerges as a crucial attacking force. Real Sociedad B’s Job Ochieng matches this firepower, also finding the net four times in his recent five outings, making this duel a battle not just of teams, but of creative midfielders with a nose for goal.

Hot stat: Real Sociedad B have scored in each of their last five matches, a testament to their attacking persistence despite facing higher-ranked opposition.

15:00Finished29.03.2026

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Almeria vs Real Sociedad B predictions

My best bet: Almeria to win and Over 2.5 Goals.

Almeria’s consistency at home, recently dispatching Huesca 3-1 and Cultural Leonesa 3-0, reflects their offensive potency, particularly when Arribas or Léo Baptistão are on the pitch. Conversely, Real Sociedad B’s last away defeat to Granada CF (0-2) exposed defensive frailties. Both sides favor a 4-2-3-1 system but Almeria’s higher pass accuracy (84% to 76% over last five matches) and stronger home goal difference (+16 overall) give them the technical and psychological edge.

Discipline and playing style will inevitably impact the match rhythm. Real Sociedad B have amassed 15 yellow cards in their recent five matches—almost twice Almeria’s total—hinting at a more combative approach that sometimes spills into recklessness. With Almeria’s superior control (1913 passes last five games vs 1222 for Sociedad B), expect the home side to dictate tempo, reduce gaps, and exploit defensive lapses, while Sociedad B may search for quick transitions.

  • ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Almeria vs Real Sociedad B Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Almeria Real Sociedad B
Goals 2 2
Total shots 13 9
Free kicks 14 12
Corner kicks 6 5
Total fouls 12 15
Pass accuracy (%) 81 77
Interceptions 8 10
Offsides 2 3

The previous head-to-head in this season’s La Liga 2 (2-2 draw) illustrates tactical parity between the teams, with both carving out chances and demonstrating flexibility in possession. Their ability to adapt mid-match led to an open, unpredictable contest. However, Almeria’s superior league standing and most recent form may indicate a shift in momentum.

🚨Read our full Almeria vs Real Sociedad B stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

  • Real Sociedad B have scored in each of their last five matches.
  • Almeria maintain an 84% pass accuracy in their previous five outings.
  • Sergio Arribas Calvo (Almeria) and Job Ochieng (Sociedad B) both have four goals in their last five.
  • Real Sociedad B have accumulated 15 yellow cards in five matches, compared to Almeria’s 8.
  • Sociedad B have not drawn any of their last six matches (4W, 2L).

Almeria vs Real Sociedad B score prediction: 3-1

Given Almeria’s home dominance and creative midfield, expect Sergio Arribas Calvo and Léo Baptistão to unpick Sociedad B’s high line, while Job Ochieng remains the most likely visitor to find the net. Almeria’s tighter structure and passing accuracy should contain most threats and allow them to create consistent scoring chances.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Almeria the favourite

Moneyline Almeria 1.54 | Real Sociedad B 5.70
Draw 4.00
Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.80
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.78 | No 1.98

The market’s implied win probability (Almeria 61 percent) reflects both current momentum and overall squad depth. Odds for Over 2.5 goals suggest an open contest, considering both teams’ attacking output recently. BTTS is also favored, aligning with recent goal tallies and defensive figures. In summary, bookmakers expect goals in Almeria’s favor but give Sociedad B enough credit for at least a goal.

Almeria vs Real Sociedad B Over/Under Analysis

  • Four of Almeria’s last five matches featured Over 2.5 Goals.
  • Real Sociedad B have cleared the Over 2.5 line in three of their last five games.
  • Sociedad B have failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight matches.
  • Expect both teams to find the net based on recent defensive stats and attacking records.
  • Corners trend higher when Almeria play at home (average 6), suggesting strong wing play.

Almeria Preview

Recent results underline Almeria’s resurgence: a convincing 3-1 win over Huesca followed a 0-2 slip against Real Zaragoza but continued a theme of potent attacking displays at home. Their five-match return of 7 goals, 52 shots, and 84 percent pass accuracy exemplifies Rubi’s blueprint for controlled, progressive football. Arribas is the outstanding creative force, and support flows from midfielders like Dion Lopy and forwards like Léo Baptistão, whose presence stretches defenses. The defensive backline, anchored by Nelson Monte and Federico Bonini, appears stable but must guard against lapses, especially on set-pieces.

15:30Finished20.03.2026
1HuescaSpain
3AlmeriaSpain

Almeria possible starting eleven

  • GK: Andrés Fernández
  • DF: Federico Bonini, Nelson Monte, Marcos Luna, Álex Centelles
  • MF: Dion Lopy, Sergio Arribas Calvo, Iddrisu Baba, Arnau Puigmal
  • FW: Léo Baptistão, Thalys Henrique

Real Sociedad B Preview

Sociedad B’s last five outings yielded eight goals — impressive numbers by their standards — with a recent 0-2 reversal at Granada CF their only recent shutout. Their style often relies on intensity and directness, sometimes veering toward over-commitment, as evident from 15 yellow cards recently. Job Ochieng, their talismanic forward, offers an explosive threat but will need support from fellow attackers Dani Diaz and Arkaitz Mariezkurrena to unlock Almeria’s back line. Defensively, expect a back four led by Luken Beitia and Kazunari Kita, but their cohesion will be under test from the outset.

11:15Finished22.03.2026

Real Sociedad B possible starting eleven

  • GK: Aitor Fraga
  • DF: Luken Beitia, Kazunari Kita, Unax Agote, Jon Balda
  • MF: Tomy Carbonell, Alberto Dadie, Mikel Rodriguez, Lander Astiazarán
  • FW: Job Ochieng, Dani Diaz, Arkaitz Mariezkurrena

Our prediction: Who Wins?

Our main pick is Almeria to win with a probability of 61 percent, driven by their home record, recent goal output, and tactical discipline. While Sociedad B possess match-winners such as Ochieng, their defensive volatility and high foul count play into Almeria’s structured offensive setup. Expect a vibrant contest with Almeria’s game management, passing accuracy, and set-piece strength prevailing in the decisive moments. This calculated projection is supported by the AI-powered Tips.GG predictive engine.

Almeria

Almeria. Source: Official Website

How to watch Almeria vs Real Sociedad B

When?
Kick-off time: 29 March 2026, 22:00 CEST

Where?
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almeria, Spain.

How to watch: Official La Liga 2 broadcasters, betting platforms with live streaming, and selected streaming portals.

Favorite: Almeria

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