Alex MacQuoid
Two Scottish sides meet at the Indodrill Stadium on June 30 to close out the International Club Friendly 2026 phase, and the history between them is short but telling. In the two previous summer friendlies between Alloa and Livingston, the visitors have won both times, including a 3-1 result just twelve months ago. Andy Graham’s Alloa side comes into this match on the back of a 5-0 hammering of Civil Service Strollers FC, which is the kind of scoreline that flatters a pre-season fixture but still counts as a confidence boost heading into this local derby. Scott Arfield’s Livingston, meanwhile, beat Dundee 2-0 in their most recent outing and arrive here having won their only match in this June friendly window. One player to keep a close eye on for Alloa is whoever Graham deploys in the attacking third following that Civil Service demolition, with the home side showing real cutting intent in that game. For Livingston, the midfield structure under Arfield has looked compact and purposeful across their recent results, and whoever carries that shape from the center of the park will be key to dictating the tempo here.
Hot stat: Alloa’s 5-0 win over Civil Service Strollers is the standout result in this friendly tournament for Scottish clubs, with that scoreline representing the biggest single-match goal haul either side has registered in the 2026 June phase.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Indodrill Stadium, Alloa |
| 🗓️ Date: | 30.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:30 CEST |
Alloa vs Livingston Prediction
Livingston are the value pick here. Both previous meetings in this exact competition have ended in Livingston wins, and their 2-0 result against Dundee in their last match showed a team that can keep a clean sheet while still carrying a goal threat. Alloa’s big win over Civil Service Strollers was impressive on paper, but Civil Service sit near the very bottom of Scottish football, and that opposition quality gap makes it hard to read too much into the margin of victory. Livingston’s opponents in recent matches have been considerably stronger, with Dundee, Kilmarnock, Dundee United, and Aberdeen all featuring, and the Lions have managed to keep three clean sheets across those four games.
Alloa’s overall this-year form reads 7 wins from 16, a 44% win rate, but their last 30-day record shows 2 wins and 3 losses with no draws. Livingston’s this-year win rate of just 10% from 21 matches looks alarming on the surface, but honestly, their schedule has been much tougher, and the recent uptick in form with a win and three draws from their last five is the more relevant signal. We think Livingston win this one, possibly by a single goal, and the Livingston clean sheet market is worth a look given how defensively solid they have been lately.
Alloa’s recent matches in the Scottish Championship context have featured a fair number of fouls and set-piece situations, which could generate corners. Livingston tend to be more disciplined positionally, which may suppress the corner count from their end. With both teams operating in a low-stakes friendly environment, we would not expect a high-tempo pressing game from either side, which leans the total goals market toward the under rather than the over.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Livingston to win and keep a clean sheet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Alloa’s last five matches have been a mixed bag. They beat Civil Service Strollers 5-0 in the June friendly, which was their most recent outing and the result that gives them three points in this tournament. Before that, they were involved in a pair of Scottish Championship play-off fixtures against Stenhousemuir, winning 1-0 and then losing 3-1, and two matches against Airdrieonians, winning both 2-1 and 1-0. The back-to-back wins to close out the domestic season showed some defensive resilience, even if the Stenhousemuir reversal in between was a setback. Their form string of wldwwwwlldlwlwl shows a team capable of stringing wins together but prone to inconsistency. The 5-0 friendly win is a positive note to build on at home.
Livingston’s recent record tells a different story. Their last five matches include the 2-0 win over Dundee in this friendly competition, and before that, three consecutive draws against Kilmarnock (0-0), Dundee United (0-0), and Dundee again (0-0), plus a 2-2 draw with Aberdeen. That run of four matches without a goal against suggests a side that was hard to break down even when they were not scoring themselves. The 2-0 win over Dundee in the friendly snapped that goal drought and showed they have the attacking capacity when the opposition drops in quality. Scott Arfield’s side has played only one match in this June window and won it. Their overall form string of llddddldlwddddw shows a side that draws a lot and rarely loses by large margins, which is consistent with a defensively organized team.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Alloa | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 5 |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
🚨Check out our dedicated Alloa vs Livingston stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Livingston the Favourite
No bookmaker odds were provided for this match at the time of writing. Based on the head-to-head record, Livingston’s recent defensive form, and their win in the equivalent fixture last summer, we would expect the market to price Livingston as marginal favourites. The draw would likely be the second most probable outcome given how frequently Livingston have drawn recently. Alloa at home might attract some backing given the 5-0 win in their last outing, but that opposition quality caveat applies. Below are estimated market ranges based on the available context:
- Moneyline Alloa N/A | Livingston N/A
- Draw N/A
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
We think the Livingston win price, whenever it is posted, will represent decent value given the two-from-two head-to-head record in this specific competition. The under 2.5 goals market also looks attractive given Livingston’s recent defensive record of three consecutive 0-0 draws before their 2-0 friendly win.
Alloa. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Alloa Possible Starting Eleven
No player-level data was available from the last five matches for Alloa, so the lineup below is based on the squad’s typical Championship-level structure under Andy Graham and publicly available roster information heading into the 2026 pre-season.
- GK: Neil Parry
- DF: Liam Dick, Paddy Martin, Callum Crane, Liam Nolan
- MF: Craig Thomson, Luke Rankin, Conor Sammon
- FW: Harry Milne, Aron Lyons, Kevin O’Hara
Graham typically sets Alloa up in a compact 4-3-3 or a 4-5-1 depending on the opposition, prioritizing defensive shape before looking to hit on the counter. In a home friendly context, we might see a more adventurous setup, particularly given the confidence from the Civil Service win. O’Hara is a player to watch in the forward line if he features, with the ability to create from wide areas.
Livingston Possible Starting Eleven
Similarly, detailed lineup data was not available for Livingston, and the selection below reflects the club’s typical squad composition and Arfield’s preferred organizational shape.
- GK: Shaun Carroll
- DF: Nicky Devlin, Jack Fitzwater, Ayo Tanimowo, Cristian Montano
- MF: Andrew Shinnie, Scott Kelly, Jamie Brandon
- FW: Dylan Tait, Kyle Magennis, Kurtis Guthrie
Arfield has leaned on a 4-3-3 structure at Livingston, with a strong emphasis on midfield compactness and defensive organization, which explains the string of clean sheets and draws in their recent results. Andrew Shinnie in the center of midfield is the kind of experienced operator who controls tempo rather than chases the game, and his presence makes Livingston hard to pin down. Guthrie as the focal point up front gives them a physical outlet, and Tait’s movement off the ball is something Alloa’s backline will need to track closely.
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Livingston. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Livingston win this match. That is our call, and the reasoning is not complicated. They have won both previous summer friendlies against Alloa, they arrive in better defensive shape, and their last five matches show a team that does not concede easily. Alloa’s big win over Civil Service Strollers was a confidence builder, but it does not change the underlying quality gap between these two sides at this point in their respective pre-seasons. Livingston’s 2-0 win over Dundee in this same friendly competition shows they can find the net when the opportunity is there.
We think this ends 0-1 or 1-2 to Livingston, with the visitors controlling the second half once they establish their midfield shape. The under 2.5 goals line is our secondary pick, and honestly, a Livingston clean sheet would not surprise anyone who has watched their recent results closely. Alloa at home will push, maybe create a chance or two from set pieces, but Livingston’s defensive discipline should hold.
