Sofia Quijada
Top spot in Liga 1 Apertura is up for grabs at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva as Alianza Lima, led by Pablo Guede, hosts Walter Paolella’s Los Chankas. Alianza Lima, currently first, has conceded just seven goals in 15 matches, boasting the best defense in the league. Los Chankas, just three points behind, have impressed with their attacking energy but show defensive frailties. Two players to watch: Alianza’s dynamic winger Erick Castillo, who netted twice in his last five matches, and Los Chankas’ versatile defender Oshiro Takeuchi, who not only anchors the backline but has scored recently. The “hot stat”: Alianza Lima’s 8-0 demolition of Cusco in their last five games highlights their explosive home potential.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Liga 1 2026 Apertura (Peru) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 03:30 CEST |
Alianza Lima vs Los Chankas prediction
We predict a home win for Alianza Lima. This squad has shown superior consistency, winning four of their last five and dominating defensively. Los Chankas can be unpredictable and creative up front, but their away form and recent defensive lapses—such as the 0-4 loss to Tarma—make it tough to trust them against an elite home side. Alianza’s pressing game and reliable backline should stifle Los Chankas’ attacking attempts.
Alianza Lima averages just under two yellow cards per match in recent outings, indicating disciplined aggression. Their foul count remains controlled, with 45 fouls in the last five. Ball possession stands out, with an average pass completion of 81%, showing patience and quality on the ball. Los Chankas, by contrast, have struggled to maintain composure, recording 48 fouls and a red card in their last five matches. Their lower pass accuracy (78%) and high number of corners (21) show both offensive intent and defensive instability. Expect a match where Alianza Lima dominates possession, creates high-quality chances, and forces Los Chankas into mistakes.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Alianza Lima to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Alianza Lima’s most recent matches underline their stability and attacking variety. In their last five, they won four, including a 1-0 win over Cienciano and an emphatic 8-0 thrashing of Cusco. The defense has been impenetrable, with only two goals conceded in these fixtures. Key players like Marco Huaman and Esteban Pavez contribute heavily to build-up play and defensive solidity. Guerrero’s hold-up play up top also offers structure.
Los Chankas come into this match off a mixed run. Their last five include a 1-0 win over Moquegua and a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Cusco, but also a 0-4 collapse against Tarma. The squad creates plenty of shots (72 in last five), yet efficiency in front of goal is lacking. Defensively, they are vulnerable to quick transitions and often concede set-piece opportunities, as seen by their 21 corners conceded. Oshiro Takeuchi and Marlon Torres anchor the back, but discipline issues could prove costly.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Alianza Lima | Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| Total shots | 51 | 72 |
| Free kicks | 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 21 |
| Total fouls | 45 | 48 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 81 | 78 |
| Interceptions | 35 | 25 |
| Offsides | 13 | 10 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Alianza Lima vs Los Chankas stats page for more info.
Los Chankas. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Alianza Lima the favourite
- Moneyline Alianza Lima 1.28 | Los Chankas 8.90
- Draw 5.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.87 | Under 2.5 1.88
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.15 | No 1.65
Bookmakers heavily back Alianza Lima, reflecting their superior form and robust home advantage. The short 1.28 home price gives limited value on the moneyline, but Los Chankas’ 8.90 odds highlight the gulf in perceived quality. The over/under line is split nearly evenly, but Alianza’s recent attacking surges suggest an open match. BTTS “No” is favored, aligning with the home side’s defensive record.
Possible Starting Lineups
Alianza Lima possible starting eleven
- GK: Alejandro Duarte
- DF: Renzo Garces, Marco Huaman, Gianfranco Chavez, Luis Advíncula
- MF: Esteban Pavez, Fernando Gaibor, Jesús Castillo
- FW: Erick Castillo, Paolo Guerrero, Jairo Vélez
Alianza Lima likely sticks to a 4-2-3-1. Duarte remains the first-choice keeper, while Garces, Huaman, Chavez, and Advíncula form a solid back four. Pavez, Gaibor, and Castillo control the midfield, blending defensive cover with forward passing. Up front, Guerrero leads the line, with Castillo and Vélez adding pace and creativity. Expect Huaman to play a big role in both defense and set pieces.
Los Chankas possible starting eleven
- GK: Hairo Camacho
- DF: Oshiro Takeuchi, Ayrthon Quintana, Carlos Pimienta, Gonzalo Rizzo, Kelvin Sanchez
- MF: Jorge Palomino, Adrian Quiroz, Abdiel Ayarza
- FW: Marlon Torres, Jarlin Quintero
Los Chankas will probably line up 5-3-2, emphasizing defensive numbers. Camacho in goal is supported by a compact five-man defense, with Takeuchi and Pimienta providing experience. Palomino, Quiroz, and Ayarza must help transition defense to attack, while Torres and Quintero offer pace up front. Torres is a player to watch, given his recent goal and work rate. The structure aims to absorb pressure and counter quickly.
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Alianza Lima. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Alianza Lima will secure three points. Their defensive consistency, combined with strong home attacking displays, set them apart. Los Chankas have attacking ambition but lack the discipline and organization to keep up with Lima’s pace and structure. Expect Alianza Lima to control tempo, force turnovers, and punish defensive errors.
