The upcoming La Liga encounter between Alavés and Real Madrid is set to take place on April 13, 2025, at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz. With Alavés sitting precariously just above the relegation zone and Real Madrid in a fierce title race against Barcelona, this match holds significant importance for both teams. Alavés must secure points to distance themselves from the relegation battle, while Real Madrid will be eager to maintain their chase for the top spot.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2024/25 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.04.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:15 CEST |
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Alavés vs Real Madrid prediction
Given Real Madrid’s superior form and track record, the best value prediction lies in backing them to secure a straightforward victory. Their attacking prowess, bolstered by players like Vinícius Jr. and Kylian Mbappé, is expected to exploit Alavés’ defensive vulnerabilities. Alavés’ tendency to commit fouls and earn yellow cards could further hinder their performance, especially against a team adept at capitalizing on set-piece opportunities through precision and skill.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
In recent matches, Alavés has exhibited inconsistent form, winning only two of their last five games. Their recent 1-0 victory against Girona was a highlight, yet the side’s defensive fragility was evident in the 2-2 draw with Las Palmas. This inconsistency comes at a critical juncture, as the team remains perilously close to the relegation zone.
Real Madrid, in contrast, has been relatively consistent. Despite a surprising 0-3 loss to Arsenal, they demonstrated their offensive capabilities with a thrilling 4-4 draw against Real Sociedad. Madrid’s ability to bounce back, as showcased by their victories over Villarreal and Leganes, underscores their resilience and depth in squad quality.
Most recent H2Hs: Real Madrid dominates
| Statistic | Alavés | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 12 |
| Total shots | 30 | 89 |
| Free kicks | 10 | 20 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 34 |
| Total fouls | 40 | 37 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 61% | 90% |
| Interceptions | 23 | 56 |
| Offsides | 4 | 14 |
🚨Read our full Alavés vs Real Madrid stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid the favourite
| Moneyline | Alavés 5.25 | Real Madrid 1.60 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 4.10 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.66 | Under 2.5 2.20 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.00 | No 1.78 | |
The odds strongly favor Real Madrid, reflecting their superior form and squad depth. Bookmakers see them as clear favorites, which aligns with their recent performances and historical head-to-head dominance over Alavés.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
For Alavés, Carlos Vicente has been a standout performer with his crucial goal-scoring ability in tight contests. Meanwhile, Real Madrid’s Jude Bellingham is integral to their midfield dynamism, contributing significantly in both defensive duties and goal opportunities.
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Alaves. Source: Official Website
Possible Starting Lineups
Alavés possible starting eleven
- GK: Antonio Sivera
- DF: Abdel Abqar, Nahuel Tenaglia, Alvaro Santiago Mourino Gonzalez, Manuel Sánchez
- MF: Carlos Benavidez, Jon Guridi, Ander Guevara, Joan Jordan
- FW: Carlos Vicente, Kike
Alavés is likely to continue with their 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a solid defensive setup while seeking counter-attacking opportunities. Carlos Vicente, with his recent goal-scoring form, is one to watch.
Real Madrid possible starting eleven
- GK: Thibaut Courtois
- DF: Antonio Rüdiger, David Alaba, Francisco Garcia, Lucas Vázquez
- MF: Luka Modrić, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham
- FW: Vinícius Jr., Kylian Mbappé, Arda Güler
Real Madrid is expected to field a 4-2-3-1 lineup, leveraging their attacking strengths with Vinícius Jr. and Mbappé leading the line. Jude Bellingham’s influence in midfield will be crucial for dominating possession.
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Real Madrid. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
This match is predicted to be a commanding performance by Real Madrid, with the likelihood of a multi-goal victory. They are well-positioned to exploit Alavés’ defensive weaknesses, aiming for comprehensive control from the outset. Considering both teams’ recent form and squad capabilities, a Real Madrid win appears to be the most plausible outcome.

