Alavés vs Levante Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2025/26 Match - 16.08.2025

The opening round of the La Liga 2025/26 season delivers a compelling matchup at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz as Deportivo Alavés hosts Levante UD on August 16th, with kick-off set for 22:30 CEST. Both clubs enter this regular season opener aiming to affirm their ambitions—a clash featuring Eduardo Coudet’s Alavés, a side known for tactical discipline, against Julián Calero’s energetic Levante. With both teams eager to set the tone early in the long campaign, every nuance of the encounter could prove decisive.

In the spotlight for Alavés is winger Luis Rioja, whose dribbling flair and knack for stretching defences provide vital width, while Levante’s attacking leader Mohamed Bouldini poses a constant threat with his sharp movement and clinical finishing. These two talismans are poised to test opposing backlines in a fixture where narrow margins often decide outcomes.

Notably, Levante arrive with momentum, having notched three wins and two draws in their last six outings—a 50 percent win rate that marks them as slightly more consistent than their Basque hosts. Hot stat: Levante have conceded just two goals in their last five matches, underscoring a defensive solidity that could frustrate Alavés’s attack.

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Alavés vs Levante predictions

Me best bet: Under 2.5 goals stands out as the optimal pick for this contest. Rationale: Alavés’ last three matches have all finished with fewer than two goals (including two goalless performances), and Levante, despite strong results, have won three of their last five with clean sheets. Both sides excel in defensive organization, with Coudet’s side often prioritizing compactness while Calero’s Levante have recently found a rhythm in structured pressing and disciplined lines. The tactical emphasis on shape and measured buildup, coupled with early season rustiness, suggests another low-scoring affair.

Focusing on recent tactical stats, Alavés predominantly employ a 5-3-2 formation—prioritizing numbers at the back and patient, direct transitions. They have averaged moderate ball possession (typically below the league median) and demonstrated high discipline with minimal bookings. Levante, frequently lining up in a 4-5-1 system, press high but maintain midfield congestion, leading to frequent interceptions but a relatively low fouls count. This blend of styles could manifest in measured buildup with few clear chances, as tactical caution often defines opening weekend fixtures.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Under 8.5

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🚨Read our full Alavés vs Levante stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Alavés have not scored in their last three competitive matches.
• Levante are unbeaten in five of their last six outings.
• Levante have kept three clean sheets in their last five competitive games.
• Both teams averaged under 2.0 goals per game across their last five competitive fixtures.
• In recent meetings, neither side has registered more than two goals in a single game.

Alavés vs Levante score prediction: 0-1

Given Levante’s superior form and defensive record—anchored by in-form centre back Álex Muñoz and the creativity of Pepelu in midfield—they hold the edge for a narrow victory. Alavés’ limited attacking output of late, combined with Levante’s capacity to absorb pressure and strike with precision, points towards an away win secured by a solitary goal, possibly courtesy of Bouldini or a decisive set piece. Expect a tactical chess match with few clear-cut opportunities.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Alavés the favourite

Despite home advantage and bookmakers rating Alavés as slight favourites, the form book tilts towards Levante, whose defensive stability complements their counter-attacking instincts. The under 2.5 market stands out due to both clubs’ tendency towards low-scoring contests, especially early in the campaign—a valuable trend to exploit for punters.

Alavés vs Levante Over/Under Analysis

• Four of Alavés’ last five matches ended with under 2.5 goals.
• Levante have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches.
• Both clubs averaged fewer than 7 corners per game in recent fixtures.
• Neither side has seen a match exceed two goals in their last three mutual encounters.

Alavés Preview

Alavés approach their home opener after a challenging run, having failed to score in their last three matches (0-0 vs Eibar, 0-1 vs Huesca, 0-1 vs Girona). Their recent win against Castellón (2-1) showcased some attacking intent, but overall, their inability to break resolute defensive blocks remains a concern. Coach Eduardo Coudet’s pragmatic approach features a back five, designed for stability rather than fluidity. If Alavés are to succeed, they must rediscover their transitional sharpness and harness Rioja’s capacity to unlock tight defences.

Levante Preview

Levante come into this encounter buoyed by a more consistent showing: a resounding 2-0 win over Auxerre, a surprising 0-2 defeat against Castellón, and solid performances across pre-season, including a 2-0 victory over Neom SC and a 2-0 success against Teruel. Julian Calero’s men prefer a 4-5-1 shape, with Bouldini spearheading attacks and Pepelu orchestrating midfield ball circulation. Their tactical identity hinges on layered pressing and quick transitions, making them dangerous on the counter, especially if their full-backs can overlap and provide width.

The Verdict

On behalf of the Tips.GG team, our main pick is a marginal Levante victory, reflecting both current form and their composure in tight matches. Expect Calero’s side to edge a low-scoring contest (1-0), leveraging their defensive acumen and ability to exploit moments of transition. Our dedicated AI prediction engine gives Levante a 41 percent probability to win, with Alavés on 43 percent and a 31 percent chance of a draw—a sign of just how delicately balanced this opening clash stands.

How to watch Alavés vs Levante

• When? August 16, 2025. Kick-off: 22:30 CEST
• Where? Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain
• How to watch: Check La Liga official broadcast partners, regional sports platforms, and live streaming services.
• Favorite: Alavés (by betting odds)

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