Alavés vs Girona Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga - 23.02.2026

The Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz sets the stage for a compelling La Liga Regular Season encounter as Alavés welcome Girona on 23rd February 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 22:00 CEST. With both sides neck and neck in the mid-table battle Alavés just three points behind Girona this fixture carries significant weight in the race to secure safety and possibly push towards the upper echelons of Spain’s elite division.

Both managers, Eduardo Coudet standing at the Alavés helm and Míchel directing Girona, are renowned for tactical adaptability and pragmatic decision-making. Among the players to watch, Alavés striker Toni Martínez has been crucial, netting three goals and providing an assist in his last five appearances. For Girona, midfielder Thomas Lemar brings flair and experience to the center of the park, and his two recent goals make him a formidable offensive threat.

Notably, Alavés have scored in every home league fixture this calendar year, underlining their attacking consistency at Mendizorroza a “Hot Stat” that could sway the outcome.

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Alavés vs Girona predictions

Me best bet: Alavés Draw No Bet (DNB). With home advantage and a strong scoring record at Mendizorroza, Alavés look poised to extend their unbeaten home run against a Girona side that has struggled to string together consistent results on the road. The recent form and attacking output from key figures like Toni Martínez support this pick, while the added security of DNB mitigates risk if Girona snatch a draw.

Both Alavés and Girona approach matches with balanced tactics Alavés primarily using a 4-4-2, emphasizing compact defensive lines and fast transitions. Their last five games show a low card count (7), moderate fouls (11 per match), and solid pass accuracy (82%), indicating discipline and structured build-up play. Girona, in their recent five, have drawn more cards (10), committed fewer fouls, and are aggressive in midfield duels (25 interceptions), suggesting increased risk in defensive transitions and a possible vulnerability to quick counters. These stylistic nuances point towards a cagey encounter with chances for both but a slight edge to Alavés with home support.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Alavés vs Girona Most recent H2Hs

Across their recent meetings, Girona have had the upper hand in tight contests winning three of the last four head-to-heads, often by single-goal margins. While Alavés claimed a vital 1-0 home win last season, Girona often edge the duels on the back of energetic midfield pressure. The statistics suggest closely-matched sides, with the most recent encounters frequently decided by tactical transitions and set-piece efficiency.

🚨Read our full Alavés vs Girona stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Alavés have scored in every home La Liga fixture in 2026.
• Girona have managed only 1 win in their last 5 away matches across all competitions.
• Last 4 H2Hs feature only one fixture where both teams scored.
• Average corners between the sides is 9 per match over the last three meetings.
• Toni Martínez (Alavés) has 3 goals in his last 5 starts.
• Girona’s Thomas Lemar has registered 2 goals and 1 assist in his past four appearances.

Alavés vs Girona score prediction: 1-0

Expect a tense and tactically disciplined affair, given both sides’ penchant for defensive solidity. With Toni Martínez spearheading the attack and Alavés’s consistent scoring at home, a narrow 1-0 victory for the hosts looks most probable. Girona, while dangerous in transitions through Lemar, may lack the cutting edge away from home to breach Alavés’s defenses.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Alavés the favourite

The bookmakers slightly favor Alavés owing to their home form and statistical edge from recent matches. Odds for a draw are also relatively short, reflecting the history of tight clashes. With the Under 2.5 priced at 1.75, expectations tilt toward a low-scoring game, consistent with both teams’ recent output.

Alavés vs Girona Over/Under Analysis

• Four of the last five Alavés matches have ended Under 2.5 goals.
• Girona have failed to score in three of their last five away fixtures.
• The last four H2Hs produced a combined average of 1.25 goals per game.
• Expect disciplined defenses; low probability of a goal-fest.

Alavés Preview

Alavés’s recent form is a mixed bag (lwwlwldlwlwwlld). Most recently, they held Sevilla to a 1-1 draw demonstrating resilience but again underlining their challenge converting opportunities. Previously, victories over RCD Espanyol and Real Betis were characterized by effective set-piece execution and disciplined structures in midfield and defense. Notably, Toni Martínez remains an ever-present threat, while Antonio Sivera provides stability between the posts.

Alavés possible starting eleven

Girona Preview

Girona have experienced fluctuating fortunes (lwddllwlwwwdldw) but can take heart from their shock 2-1 win over Barcelona powered by clinical finishing and tactical courage. Míchel’s side have struggled for consistency, particularly in attacks not led by marquee names like Lemar. Their latest outings have exposed defensive vulnerabilities, not least in their 1-1 stalemate with Sevilla. Discipline remains a concern, as ten yellows hint at, but their transition play is improving.

Girona possible starting eleven

The Verdict

Taking into account recent form, team dynamics, and home field advantage, our Tips.GG prediction engine assigns Alavés a 40 percent chance of victory, with the draw at 32 percent and Girona at 28 percent. With more attacking variety, better recent home form, and Girona’s erratic away record, Alavés are tipped to edge a narrow contest 1-0 is our primary pick.

How to watch Alavés vs Girona

When? 23 February 2026
Kick-off time: 22:00 CEST
Where? Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
How to watch: Via DAZN, La Liga TV, or check your local listings for Spanish football coverage.
Favorite: Alavés

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