Sofia Quijada
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La Liga 2026/27 kicks off at Estadio de Mendizorroza as Alavés host Getafe on 15 August. The fixture carries a notable edge given that Getafe have won or drawn all four of their most recent meetings against Alavés, keeping a clean sheet in three of those games. Quique Sánchez Flores sets up his side against former Getafe boss Pepe Bordalás, who knows exactly what this fixture demands.
Martin Satriano leads Getafe’s attack with two shots and a solid work rate in the most recent outing, while Orel Mangala anchors the midfield with a perfect pass accuracy of 20/20 and consistent defensive cover. Getafe’s backline, marshalled by Dakonam Djené, showed sharp positioning against Tottenham, recording four interceptions across the unit in that single match alone.
Hot stat: Getafe conceded just one goal across their last three matches, including a draw with Tottenham and a goalless result against Real Valladolid, demonstrating a defensive solidity that has defined their recent run.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Alavés vs Getafe Prediction
The head-to-head record tells a clear story. Getafe have won three of the last four meetings and drawn the other, scoring eight goals and conceding just one. Alavés have failed to score in three of those four clashes. Bordalás sides are historically built to frustrate opponents, absorb pressure, and punish on the counter, and this Getafe squad shows no signs of abandoning that identity.
Alavés carry a reasonable home record in recent weeks, picking up two wins and two draws in their last four matches without a defeat. Their recent wins over Castellón (3-0) and Girona (1-0) show they can be effective, but those opponents were in poor form. Getafe arrive off a tougher schedule, having played Tottenham and Atlético Madrid, and their 33% win rate over the year reflects the difficulty of those fixtures rather than a drop in quality.
Getafe’s disciplined defensive shape, combined with their tendency to play through set pieces and free kicks, suits away matches. With Alavés having drawn their last two games and Getafe unbeaten in this fixture since 2024, backing Getafe to avoid defeat carries genuine value. We predict a Getafe win or draw double chance as the primary market, with the match staying low-scoring given both teams’ defensive tendencies.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Getafe Double Chance (Draw or Getafe Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Alavés have gone unbeaten across their last four fixtures, but the quality of those results is mixed. A 3-0 win over Castellón and a 1-0 win over Girona were offset by draws against Racing Santander and Eibar. Their earlier loss to Rayo Vallecano showed that when pressed by energetic sides, they can be undone. The team’s form over the year sits at 33% win rate from 27 matches, placing them in a cautious position heading into a tough early-season test.
Getafe opened their schedule with a draw against Tottenham (1-1) before losing to Monaco (0-1), results that carry no shame given the calibre of those opponents. The 1-4 loss to Atlético Madrid was a clear outlier against a top-three side. Before that run of European-level opposition, Getafe beat Tenerife 2-1 and held Real Valladolid to a goalless draw. Their 41% win rate across 27 matches this year is the stronger of the two sides, and Bordalás has them organized at the back.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Alavés | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Alavés vs Getafe stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Alavés the Favourite
- Moneyline Alavés 2.40 | Getafe 3.70
- Draw 2.82
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Bookmakers price Alavés as marginal favorites at home, which is understandable given the venue advantage, but the head-to-head record argues against backing them outright. Getafe at 3.70 represents genuine value for a side that has not lost to Alavés in four attempts. The draw at 2.82 is also worth considering given both teams’ recent tendency to share points. We lean toward Getafe or the draw over an Alavés win.
Possible Starting Lineups
Getafe Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: David Soria
- DF: Dakonam Ortega Djené, Abdel Abqar, Zaid Romero, Kiko Femenia, David Cordón Mancha
- MF: Orel Mangala, Andrés García, Ramón Terrats, Mario Martín Rielves
- FW: Martin Satriano
Bordalás typically deploys a compact 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 shape, and the players available suggest a narrow midfield with Mangala and Andrés García providing cover. David Soria starts in goal with strong recent save numbers. Martin Satriano leads the line and has been the most active forward, while Borja Mayoral provides depth off the bench. Dakonam Djené is a player to watch, combining defensive aggression with the ability to drive forward from the right side of defense.
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Alaves. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
The numbers point clearly in one direction. Getafe have not lost to Alavés in four straight La Liga meetings, scoring six goals and conceding just one. Alavés are unbeaten recently but have drawn three of their last five, and their home advantage has not translated into wins against Getafe historically. Bordalás teams are built to make matches ugly, limit space, and win ugly, and that approach has worked consistently in this fixture.
Getafe’s 13 fouls and seven free kicks in their most recent match underline the physical, disruptive style Bordalás demands. Alavés, under Quique Sánchez Flores, tend to prefer controlled possession, which can be neutralized by Getafe’s pressing and compact defensive lines. We predict a low-scoring match with Getafe taking at least a point, and their odds of 3.70 make an outright Getafe win the best value play on the board.
