Alavés vs Getafe Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2025/26 Match - 08.02.2026

The Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz will host a fiercely anticipated La Liga encounter between Alavés and Getafe on February 8th, 2026, with kick-off set for 15:00 CEST. As the regular season enters its decisive phase, both sides have much to prove: Alavés fighting to consolidate a mid-table position under Eduardo Coudet’s guidance, while Pepe Bordalás’ Getafe look to escape the relegation battle brewing at the bottom.

Key figures for this match include Alavés’s in-form striker Toni Martínez, whose recent scoring run has been instrumental, and Getafe’s versatile midfielder Mauro Arambarri, a vital engine in orchestrating transitions and breaking up play.

Recent performances indicate contrasting trajectories: Alavés boasts a doubled win rate compared to Getafe in their last six matches, while Getafe has struggled, drawing three of their past five but failing to secure a victory. Notably, Alavés has demonstrated resilience against higher-ranked teams, securing a stunning 2-1 win over Real Betis and RCD Espanyol in quick succession.

Hot stat: Alavés have scored two goals in each of their last three home matches, demonstrating newfound attacking teeth at Mendizorroza.

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Alavés vs Getafe predictions

My best bet: Alavés to win.

At home, Alavés’s tactical stability and momentum in front of goal make them a formidable side, especially against a Getafe team that lacks offensive impetus (just two goals in their last five). The physicality and pressing orchestrated by Coudet’s well-drilled 4-4-2 should create substantial challenges for Getafe, whose defensive shape often sits too deep to relieve pressure. Toni Martínez and Lucas Boyé provide a dynamic front pairing capable of exposing spaces through combination play and quick transitions — spearheading my confidence in a home win.

From a stylistic angle, Alavés is relatively disciplined, averaging fewer fouls (69 over five matches) and maintaining higher pass accuracy (averaging 76 percent), whereas Getafe’s recent games have been marked by scrappy midfield battles (56 fouls in five), slightly less possession, and more desperation in defensive phases, culminating in low attacking output. This might translate to a match in which Alavés execute a more possession-based game plan while Getafe look to disrupt, but with limited means to transition quickly into attack.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Alavés vs Getafe Most recent H2Hs

Historical meetings between Alavés and Getafe have gone both ways, but recent fixtures demonstrate a trend in favor of defensive resilience: the last clash in the current season ended 1-1, and Getafe actually won the two prior matches (2-0, 1-0). However, Alavés’s upgrade in attacking output and Getafe’s ongoing scoring drought tilt the balance back towards the hosts this time. It is also worth noting that Getafe’s overwhelming reliance on defensive organization sometimes yields results against possession-heavy sides, but less so when creativity and possession are evenly matched as is the case here.

🚨Read our full Alavés vs Getafe stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Alavés have scored 2+ goals in three consecutive home matches.
• Getafe are without a win in their last 10 La Liga away matches.
• Toni Martínez has contributed to four goals in his last five appearances for Alavés.
• Getafe have scored just two goals in their last five outings, the joint-fewest in the league.
• Both teams average around four corner kicks per game, indicating frequent transitions and wide play.
• There has not been a red card in any of the last five meetings.

Alavés vs Getafe score prediction: 2-0

Anticipating Alavés’s improved offensive dynamic, a 2-0 home win is the most likely outcome. Expect Toni Martínez to lead the line with authority, ably supported by Lucas Boyé, while the midfield trio of Benavidez, Guevara, and Blanco work diligently to disrupt Getafe’s rhythm. On the other side, Getafe’s recent attacking woes and overreliance on structured defense suggest clear difficulties in breaking through Alavés’s backline, anchored by the consistent Jonny Otto and Nahuel Tenaglia.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Alavés the favourite

The bookmakers install Alavés as the clear favourite, explained by their superior recent form and Getafe’s attacking deficiencies. The value for a home win sits attractively between 2.30–2.44, reflecting confidence but also accounting for Alavés’s mid-table volatility. The high odds for both ‘Over 2.5’ and ‘Both Teams To Score: Yes’ reflect the underlying expectation of a low-scoring, cagey affair, making a clean Alavés win and ‘Under 2.5 goals’ a value combination.

Alavés vs Getafe Over/Under Analysis

• Four of the last five Alavés matches have ended with under 2.5 total goals.
• Getafe’s last five fixtures have seen under 2.5 goals in four games.
• None of the past five combined matches between the sides have seen more than three goals.
• The trend points strongly toward a low-scoring game.

Alavés Preview

Alavés enter the contest with growing confidence, having secured hard-fought wins against Real Betis (2-1) and RCD Espanyol (2-1), followed by a narrow 2-3 loss to Real Sociedad that nonetheless showcased their attacking ambition. The tactical switch to a flexible 4-4-2 allows for greater forward runs from full-backs Jonny Otto and Nahuel Tenaglia, increasing crossing opportunities for danger man Toni Martínez.

Alavés possible starting eleven

Getafe Preview

Getafe’s form has been less convincing, typified by gritty yet ultimately fruitless performances. Their last five matches have produced a trio of draws (including 0-0 against Celta Vigo), but their inability to consistently find the net remains a fundamental issue. Bordalás’ 4-2-3-1 prioritizes defensive solidity over inventive play, with Mauro Arambarri and Luis Milla crucial in shuttling between phases but lacking incisive passing to supply the likes of Juanmi and Martin Satriano.

Getafe possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As the TipsGG team, our expert consensus and AI-powered analysis assign Alavés a 51 percent win probability, a figure underpinned by home advantage and their superior recent performance metrics. While both teams show defensive discipline, Alavés’s attacking edge and Getafe’s impotence in front of goal tip the scales. Our recommendation is a home win with an under 2.5 total goals bet for optimal value.

How to watch Alavés vs Getafe

• When? Saturday, 08.02.2026
• Kick-off time: 15:00 CEST
• Where? Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
• How to watch: Local TV broadcasters or official La Liga streaming services
• Favorite: Alavés

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