Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahce Prediction: 18.01.2026 Süper Lig Preview

As the Süper Lig regular season gathers momentum, Alanyaspor welcomes high-flying Fenerbahce to Alanya Oba Stadyumu in what promises to be a keenly contested clash on 18 January 2026. While Fenerbahce comes into this fixture sitting firmly in second place and eyeing the top spot, Alanyaspor remains a mid-table contender determined to upset the odds. One particularly compelling angle is how both teams have evolved in their approach over recent matches: Fenerbahce blending ruthless attack with solid defensive discipline, while Alanyaspor have found resilience, registering only four losses in 17 matches.

Among the players to watch are Alanyaspor’s Florent Hadergjonaj, whose two goals in his last five have been crucial, and Fenerbahce’s Marco Asensio, who’s added both goals and creativity from midfield. The distribution of Fenerbahce’s scoring burden also shows their dynamic squad depth, while Alanyaspor rely on collective defending and targeted breakthroughs upfield.

Hot stat: Fenerbahce has not lost a single away match in the Süper Lig this season, illustrating their dominance on the road and lending weight to their status as favourites.

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Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahce Prediction

The best value in this fixture is backing Fenerbahce to win, with a solid chance of covering the Asian Handicap -1. Their 80% win rate over the past month and perfect league record this year underline why they are backed by both bookmakers and form analysts. Fenerbahce’s ability to balance attack and defence, with 39 goals scored and just 14 conceded, heavily contrasts Alanyaspor’s neutral goal difference and reliance on draws (nine so far).

Fenerbahce’s style is marked by high pressing and controlled possession, evidenced by 1196 passes (averaged across their last five games) and an impressive 85% pass accuracy. Their 18 corners also indicate relentless offensive play. On the other hand, Alanyaspor focus on maintaining a compact shape, recording only 11 shots and two corners from their last five, while accruing just five yellow cards, a marker of their discipline but possibly also a lack of edge in clipping opposition attacks early. Given Fenerbahce’s depth and sharper finishing, the expected pattern leans heavily towards Fener’s control – especially if they score early, forcing Alanyaspor to open up and risk defensive exposure.

Team Analysis

Alanyaspor Recent Games:
Alanyaspor’s recent form reflects their pragmatic approach, with three wins and a draw in their last four. Their latest outing was a 2-2 home draw against Karagumruk, in which they twice led but struggled to keep a clean sheet. The prior 2-0 win against Metaloglobus demonstrated their ability to capitalize against weaker opposition, and a 1-0 triumph over high-flying Trabzonspor was particularly impressive for its defensive discipline.
Despite their resilience, their limitation in attack—just four goals in their last five—suggests a difficulty in translating possession into clear chances. Their reliance on defensive organization and transitional play could be tested to the limit against Fenerbahce’s pressing game.

Fenerbahce Recent Games:
Fenerbahce comes into this match on a high, having dispatched Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1-0 and, more impressively, beating rivals Galatasaray 2-0 and Samsunspor 2-0. Their only recent setback was a narrow 2-1 defeat at home to Besiktas. With nine goals in their last five matches and an average of over 10 shots per game, Fener’s approach is clear: aggressive, direct, and relentless.
The team’s fluid 4-2-3-1 ensures that creative midfielders and full-backs can join the attack, with Marco Asensio and Anderson Talisca offering both goals and assists. Their high volume of interceptions and defensive solidity build a springboard for quick offensive transitions.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahce stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fenerbahce the favourite

• Moneyline Alanyaspor 5.50 | Fenerbahce 1.55
• Draw 4.10
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.85
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.88 | No 1.91

Fenerbahce’s low moneyline odds accurately reflect their dominance both in form and squad quality. Alanyaspor’s lengthy odds underscore their underdog status, particularly as Fenerbahce remain unbeaten away in the league. The pricing for over 2.5 goals and BTTS being nearly even suggests bookies expect action at both ends—a view supported by Alanyaspor’s home resilience and Fener’s firepower. The highest risk is on Alanyaspor’s defensive compactness, but even a tightly fought contest sees Fenerbahce as the clear favourites.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Alanyaspor possible starting eleven

Alanyaspor’s likely 4-2-3-1 set-up blends defensive discipline with bursts of creative play from Nicolas Janvier and Ianis Hagi. Hadergjonaj, as a defender with two recent goals, provides a rare attacking threat down the flank, while Hwang Ui-Jo carries the striking responsibilities. The line-up is selected based on consistent appearances and key contributions, with an emphasis on maintaining compactness against Fenerbahce’s aggressive pressing.

Fenerbahce possible starting eleven

Domenico Tedesco’s Fenerbahce will adhere to their proven 4-2-3-1, with Asensio and Talisca providing creative sparks in midfield. Jhon Durán, in form with two goals from four appearances, leads the line, ably supplied by pace and dynamism out wide. Milan Škriniar’s leadership and defensive presence provide stability at the back, while Jayden Oosterwolde pushes forward to support transitions. Expect this line-up to maximize Fenerbahce’s strengths in ball progression and offensive versatility.

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My take on the Match

With Fenerbahce unbeaten away and hitting their stride in both attack and defence, the statistics point firmly towards an away win. Alanyaspor will be dogged and organized, but the gulf in quality and depth—particularly in midfield and forward areas—makes Fenerbahce the smart pick. Main prediction: Fenerbahce to win, with enough attacking intent to justify going for the -1 Asian Handicap. Expect a competitive opening, but Fenerbahce’s class and bench options should see them pull away after the break.

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