As the Saudi Pro League continues to gain global attention, Al Nassr welcomes Al Taawoun to Mrsool Park in Riyadh in a matchup that could impact the title race. Both teams have impressed with recent form, and an in-depth look at their statistics reveals some compelling patterns. Al Nassr, guided by Jorge Jesus, and fifth-placed Al Taawoun, under Péricles Chamusca, each feature dynamic attacks and evolving styles of play. With Cristiano Ronaldo and Roger Martínez each in fine scoring form, the clash is set to showcase two of the league’s most reliable forwards.
Cristiano Ronaldo’s impact remains undeniable, contributing three goals from his last five outings for Al Nassr. For Al Taawoun, Roger Martínez stands out with an impressive seven goals in his previous five matches, emerging as a genuine game-changer.
A standout statistic to note from previous matches is Al Nassr’s attacking output: 73 total shots in their last five games, highlighting a strong capacity to create chances—one of the highest in the league during this span.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Saudi Pro League 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Mrsool Park, Riyadh |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.01.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
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Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun prediction
For football punters looking for value, Al Nassr’s home record, clinical shot production, and Ronaldo’s consistency underline their status as favorites. The best match prediction is Al Nassr to win, with value in considering an Asian Handicap (-1) given their attacking metrics and home advantage. However, Al Taawoun’s resilience—reflected in just three league losses—and Martínez’s form, suggests they will not be easy to break down and can trouble Al Nassr’s defensive lines.
Tactically, both teams average a high rate of fouls and yellow cards: Al Nassr (58 fouls and 11 yellows in their last five) and Al Taawoun (50 fouls and 10 yellows). Expect a competitive midfield battle. Al Nassr have averaged 45.7% of ball possession in recent matches, while Al Taawoun sit slightly lower. This suggests a contest with frequent turnovers and an emphasis on counter-attacks. This combative style can lead to higher corner counts: Al Nassr average five per game in recent outings, slightly above Al Taawoun.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Al Nassr -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Al Nassr: Their most recent league match ended in a 2-1 victory over Damac, marking a crucial return to winning ways after a challenging run that included losses to Al Ahli SC and Al Qadsiah. The late surge in attacking intensity, evidenced by nine goals from 73 shots in their last five games, paired with Ronaldo’s continuing influence, bodes well for their confidence. Defensively, 11 yellow cards and two red cards in five games indicate an aggressive approach that sometimes leaves gaps for quick counters.
Al Taawoun: Al Taawoun’s latest fixture was a 2-2 draw with Al-Hazem, showing both their attacking capability and moments of defensive vulnerability. Consistency is a hallmark of Chamusca’s side—they’ve lost only three of sixteen league matches. Martínez remains their standout performer, contributing to a total of eight team goals and showcasing accuracy under pressure. However, with 10 yellow cards and one red in their last five matches, discipline in high-intensity moments could be pivotal.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Al Nassr | Al Taawoun |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| Total shots | 58 | 44 |
| Free kicks | 17 | 12 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 10 |
| Total fouls | 38 | 32 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 88 | 82 |
| Interceptions | 29 | 34 |
| Offsides | 7 | 5 |
🚨Read our full Al Nassr vs Al Taawoun stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Nassr the favourite
- Moneyline Al Nassr 1.31 | Al Taawoun 8.40
- Draw 6.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.62 | Under 2.5 2.34
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.77 | No 1.93
Bookmakers lean heavily towards Al Nassr, pricing them as strong home favourites. However, with Al Taawoun’s ability to produce upsets, the long odds on the away side are worth noting for value seekers. The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS “Yes” markets are supported by both teams’ recent attacking output and defensive lapses. Draw odds are long, reflecting Al Nassr’s intent to bounce back in front of their fans.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Al Taawoun. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Al Nassr possible starting eleven

- GK: Bento
- DF: Sultan Al-Ghannam, Abdulelah Al-Amri, Iñigo Martínez, Nawaf Al-Boushal
- MF: Marcelo Brozović, Abdullah Al-Khaibari, Ali Al-Hassan, Saad Fahad Al Nasser
- FW: Cristiano Ronaldo, Kingsley Coman
This projected XI reflects Jorge Jesus’ preferred 4-4-2 shape, striking a balance between defensive stability and attacking flair. Bento’s consistency in goal and the tandem of Al-Amri and Martínez at center-back anchor the defense. The midfield pivot of Brozović and Al-Khaibari provides both distribution and discipline, while Ali Al-Hassan’s ball-winning complements Saad Fahad Al Nasser’s dynamism out wide. Ronaldo, joined by Kingsley Coman up front, gives Al Nassr elite finishing and creativity. Joao Felix could also rotate into the front line, offering adaptability if needed.
Al Taawoun possible starting eleven

- GK: Mailson Tenorio dos Santos
- DF: Mohammed Al-Dossari, Muteb Al-Mufarrij, Andrei Girotto, Meshal Al-Aeli
- MF: Ashraf El Mahdioui, Mohammed Mahzari, Angelo Fulgini, Flávio
- FW: Roger Martínez, Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
Chamusca’s 4-4-2 setup relies on strong organization and quick transitions. Mailson Tenorio provides reliability in goal, while the defensive quartet led by Al-Dossari and Girotto adds experience and composure. The central midfield features El Mahdioui and Mahzari, both adept at intercepting possession and launching attacks. Out wide, Fulgini and Flávio contribute creativity and work rate. Martínez spearheads the attack, supported by Al-Kuwaykibi’s pace and movement—a combination that has troubled defenses throughout the campaign.
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Al Nassr. Source: Official Facebook
My take on the Match
My main pick for this Saudi Pro League showdown is a home win for Al Nassr, possibly with a margin, considering their creative volume, efficient finishing, and leadership both on the pitch and on the touchline. Al Taawoun, despite an impressive run and Martínez’s scoring threat, are likely to find chances, but gaps in their defensive structure may be exploited by Al Nassr’s elite forwards. Expect a high-tempo game with moments of attacking brilliance—an ideal scenario for goal-oriented punters.

