Liam Duckstein
Al Najma face Al-Hazem on 9th May 2026 in the Saudi Pro League regular season. Both clubs have a long, challenging season behind them. Al Najma sit anchored to the bottom, while Al-Hazem hover in the lower mid-table. This match carries more significance for Al Najma as they fight to escape the relegation zone, and for Al-Hazem, it’s a shot at finishing inside the top half. Despite the tough run for the hosts, the venue, Al-Najma Club Stadium, is never an easy place for visitors, and fans expect a competitive game.
Two players to watch: Bilal Boutobba for Al Najma has found the net recently and will be central to any attacking threat. For Al-Hazem, Yousef Al-Shammari, who scored twice in his last three outings, offers sharpness upfront. Both can swing the momentum for their teams.
The hot stat: Al Najma have just two wins in 31 league matches this season, highlighting their struggle to convert matches into points.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Saudi Pro League 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Al-Najma Club Stadium, Unaizah |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:15 CEST |
Al Najma vs Al-Hazem prediction
We predict Al-Hazem to win. Al Najma’s form is among the worst in the league with just two victories and a whopping 72 goals conceded. They average under a goal per game, and their recent home results have been especially poor. Al-Hazem, in contrast, have looked more stable, picking up two wins and a draw from their last five matches. The away side also show more discipline, with higher pass accuracy and a better conversion rate. The difference in squad depth, tactical execution, and current momentum is too stark to overlook.
Both teams tend to commit a good amount of fouls, but Al Najma’s recent yellow card count (8 in five games) and their 46 fouls show a lack of control under pressure. Al-Hazem are even more aggressive (15 yellows, 36 fouls in the last five), but their higher ball possession and pass accuracy (1176 passes, 81% accuracy) allow them to maintain the initiative and dictate the tempo. The hosts could struggle to keep up, especially if they fall behind early.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Al-Hazem to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Al Najma’s latest match ended in a 0-0 draw with Al Ettifaq. The team showed resilience at the back, finally managing a clean sheet after a long stretch of losses. In previous games, defensive frailty was clear—conceding three against Al Khaleej and two each to Al Taawoun and Al Nassr. Their rare win came against Neom SC, where the attack finally clicked. Al Najma’s lack of goalscoring options has been glaring. The likes of Boutobba and Mohammed Al-Aqel offer some hope, but support is lacking from midfield.
Al-Hazem’s last outing was a heavy 0-3 defeat to Al-Hilal. The team struggled to contain a much stronger side, but overall, their recent record (draw, win, loss, win, loss) is markedly better than Al Najma. Victories over Al-Fayha and Al-Riyadh were built on disciplined defending and rapid transitions. They have a balanced approach with goals coming from several players. Set-piece execution is another asset, and the team’s physicality often unsettles weaker opposition.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Al Najma | Al-Hazem |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| Total shots | 35 | 57 |
| Free kicks | 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks | 11 | 19 |
| Total fouls | 46 | 36 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 79 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 36 | 45 |
| Offsides | 8 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Al Najma vs Al-Hazem stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Al-Hazem the favourite
- Moneyline Al Najma 3.45 | Al-Hazem 2.03
- Draw 3.55
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.95
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.75 | No 2.00
Bookmakers favor Al-Hazem for a reason. Al Najma’s struggle to find wins and their leaky defense weigh heavily on the odds. Al-Hazem’s greater attacking output and ability to grind out results tip the balance. The draw offers decent value given both teams’ tendency for stalemates, but the away side’s superior discipline and depth should give them the edge. Over 2.5 goals is well-priced, considering both teams’ recent matches have been open and error-prone.
Possible Starting Lineups
Al Najma possible starting eleven
- GK: Victor Braga
- DF: Samir De Souza, Abdullah Ahmed Musa Al Hawsawi, Mohammed Al-Fatil, Khaled Al-Sobeai
- MF: Nabil Donga, Gonçalo Rosa, Abdulaziz Al-Harabi, Lázaro Vinicius Marques, Hisham Al-Dubais
- FW: Bilal Boutobba
Victor Braga is a lock in goal, showing consistency even with a shaky defense in front. The back four combine experience and workrate, with Samir De Souza providing occasional threat from set pieces. Donga and Gonçalo Rosa hold the midfield, while Boutobba spearheads the attack. The 4-2-3-1 formation offers balance but will need the midfield to support the lone striker. Boutobba stands out as a player who can change the game for Al Najma.
Al-Hazem possible starting eleven
- GK: Ibrahim Zaied
- DF: Abdurahman Al-Dakheel, Sultan Tanker, Ahmed Al-Nakhli, Saud Al-Rashid
- MF: Aboubacar Bah, Loreintz Rosier, Ahmed Al-Shamrani, Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe
- FW: Yousef Al-Shammari, Fábio Martins
Al-Hazem’s backline, with Al-Dakheel and Tanker, brings physicality and composure. Ibrahim Zaied likely starts in goal given his recent consistency. In midfield, Rosier has been a standout, dictating the tempo and contributing both defensively and going forward. Up top, Al-Shammari and Fábio Martins form a dangerous partnership. The 4-2-3-1 formation maximizes their creative and finishing potential. Watch Rosier—his influence in both halves is significant.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Al-Hazem. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Al-Hazem to take all three points. Their superior recent form, combined with Al Najma’s defensive struggles and lack of attacking threat, provide a decisive edge. Al Najma may find the net, but their backline will be under pressure for long periods. Expect a lively game, with plenty of fouls and opportunities from set pieces. The most likely scoreline is 1-3 in favor of Al-Hazem.
