Arjun Menon
Al Masry face Al Ahly at the Al Masry Club Stadium, and the weight of history presses down—Al Ahly, always the bigger fish, but recent form from both sides raises eyebrows. Five matches played each in this championship phase, yet Al Masry’s defense still leaks goals, while Al Ahly’s attack churns forward with its usual swagger. Championship implications? Absolutely, but there’s more: Al Ahly haven’t just won, they’ve demolished their top rivals recently. On the other hand, Al Masry’s only win in this phase came against rock-bottom Smouha. Yet, don’t ignore the likes of Mounder Temine—his two goals in the last five for Al Masry could be the only reason they’re not completely adrift. For Al Ahly, Achraf Bencharki grabs headlines with 3 goals and an assist in the same stretch, his impact impossible to overlook.
Hot stat: Al Ahly have outscored their last five opponents 6 to 3 (Al Masry), but more telling is the corner count: Al Ahly 11, Al Masry 8—showcasing a side always on the front foot, creating danger relentlessly.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Egyptian Premier League 2025/26 Championship |
| 🏟 Venue: | Al Masry Club Stadium, Port Said |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Al Masry vs Al Ahly prediction
Best value? Al Ahly to win, and TipsGG punters think it’s clear-cut. 53% win probability from bookmakers lines up with what the pitch says: Al Ahly’s attack has teeth, and their defense—though not impenetrable—does enough against teams with leaky back lines like Al Masry. Al Masry concede nearly two per game this championship phase. At the same time, they only scored once in each of their last three matches. Al Ahly, on the flip side, have hit three twice in their last three, including a 3-0 thumping of Zamalek. Too much quality, more hunger.
Both teams rack up fouls—Al Masry with 41 in five games, Al Ahly 35—but it’s the yellow cards that worry for Al Masry: 7 to Al Ahly’s 5, plus a higher rate of lost balls and lower pass accuracy (77% to Al Ahly’s 82%). Expect scrappy midfield battles. Al Masry will need to disrupt, but if they get dragged into card trouble, that favors Al Ahly’s more measured aggression and speed on the break.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Al Ahly win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Al Masry’s last match was a hard-fought 1-0 win over Smouha, but that result barely covers up the cracks. Before that? A run of draws and a 1-4 hammering by Zamalek. The win against Smouha came from a moment of individual quality, not team dominance. They’re still struggling to convert possession into clear chances. The defense? Still fragile, especially on set-pieces—just look at the yellow cards and fouls per match.
Al Ahly’s most recent performance was clinical: a 3-0 demolition of Enppi, with Achraf Bencharki and Hussein El Shahat pulling the strings and finishing moves with clinical precision. Their only recent slip was a 0-3 loss to Pyramids, but that looks more like an anomaly. Across the last five, Al Ahly have shown better composure, passing accuracy, and offensive variety. It’s not all roses—defensive lapses do happen, but when the attack is this potent, it doesn’t always matter.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Al Masry | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 7 |
| Total shots | 28 | 36 |
| Free kicks | 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks | 8 | 11 |
| Total fouls | 41 | 35 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 77 | 82 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 16 |
| Offsides | 2 | 8 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Al Masry vs Al Ahly stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Ahly the favourite
- Moneyline Al Masry 5.03 | Al Ahly 1.59
- Draw 3.48
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80
Al Ahly at 1.59 is short for a reason. The gulf in squad depth and quality stares you in the face. Bookies have no faith in a home upset; even the draw is priced to suggest it’s a remote shot. Over 2.5 goals feels good—the teams combine for over 2.5 in most recent outings, Al Ahly rarely play it cagey against mid-table opposition. Both teams to score? Maybe. Al Masry’s attack, scrappy but opportunistic, could find a way through, especially if Al Ahly get comfortable or rotate after going ahead. Not touching Al Masry to win at these odds, just not seeing it. Draw’s barely worth a look.
Al Masry. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Al Masry possible starting eleven
- GK: Essam Tharwat
- DF: Amr Saadawy Salem Ismail, Baher El Mohamady, Khaled Sobhi, Mohamed Hashem
- MF: Abderrahim Deghmoum, Mahmoud Hamada, Mohamed Gaber, Ahmed El Armouty, Karim El Eraki
- FW: Mounder Temine
Sticking with the 4-2-3-1 setup that coach Emad El-Nahhas has relied on, there aren’t many surprises. Tharwat starts in goal—most consistent in the last five. Defense? Saadawy, Baher, Sobhi, Hashem—most minutes, some have discipline issues but El-Nahhas will gamble on their experience. Midfield picks itself: Deghmoum and Hamada are the engines, Gaber adds creativity, El Armouty and El Eraki bring energy on the flanks. Up front, Temine is the clear threat—he’s scored two, and if anyone can break through Al Ahly’s backline, it’s him. Depth is a problem, don’t expect game-changers from the bench.
Al Ahly possible starting eleven
- GK: Mostafa Shobeir
- DF: Mohamed Hany, Yasser Ibrahim, Yassin Marei, Ahmed Ramadan
- MF: Marwan Attia, Ahmed Koka, Emam Ashour, Aliou Dieng
- FW: Achraf Bencharki, Hussein El Shahat
Jess Thorup will run his trusted 4-2-3-1 again, no surprises—Shobeir starts in goal, Marei and Ibrahim anchor the back four with Hany and Ramadan wide. In midfield, Attia and Koka pull strings, Dieng brings steel, Ashour creative spark. Bencharki (red hot) and El Shahat will torment from the wings and forward positions. The form and stats force this lineup, no luxury to rest anyone—each name has earned the shirt. If there’s any change, maybe a late tweak at fullback or a fresh leg in midfield, but the spine stays as is.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Al Ahly. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Al Ahly by a mile, really. The stats lean hard their way, the odds scream it, and the eye test from recent matches doesn’t lie. Al Masry’s midfield is tough, but not slick enough. Al Ahly’s front line is just too much, and Bencharki is in the form of his life. We think it gets feisty—cards, goals, a few moments of hope for Al Masry—but the final word belongs to the visitors. Al Ahly win, 3-1, and the gap between these sides looks just as wide on the pitch as it does on the table. Watch the corners and the cards, maybe even a late goal to spice it up.
