Both Al Kholood and Damac approach this late-season Saudi Pro League fixture at Al Hazem Club Stadium in Ar Rass with plenty to prove. For Al Kholood, sitting 11th and just a few points clear of the relegation places, the need for a strong result is self-evident—a win could secure relative safety and silence doubts after a troubling run of losses. Damac, meanwhile, have their own survival ambitions to tend to, trailing their hosts by just three points and aiming to leapfrog them in the table. The stakes may not be at an apex for Champions League places or title glory, but for both clubs, this is a crossroads: safety—or a slide toward the drop.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Saudi Pro League 2024/25 (Regular Season) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Al Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass |
| 🗓️ Date: | 18.04.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:05 CEST |
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Al Kholood vs Damac prediction
Given recent form and the pressure of the standings, this fixture is likely to be tense and error-prone rather than wide open. Al Kholood’s lack of attacking output—just three goals in their past five matches—is alarming, compounded by a pass accuracy in the low fifties (52–61%) and an overall high foul count, signaling both pressing urgency and defensive vulnerability. Conversely, Damac have struggled for consistency but showed glimpses of dogged defiance in their surprising win over Al Qadsiah and a gritty draw with Al-Riyadh.
The bookmakers give Al Kholood a slight edge, with a home win hovering around a 2.20 average and Damac only a shade behind. While Damac boast marginally better recent defensive stats (lower goals conceded in the last five) and a little more composure in midfield reflected by their better passing metrics, Al Kholood remain dangerous on home turf, employing a direct 4-3-3 that can occasionally punish mistakes. With both teams nervous about conceding, under 2.5 goals and a tight contest look like the best betting paths, and the “Draw No Bet” favoring Al Kholood has value owing to their home advantage and marginally superior finishing.
Disciplinary issues may also play a role, with both teams averaging around 8-10 fouls per game in their last five; Damac slightly edge in yellows, which could see key players treading a tightrope. Set pieces could be a difference-maker—especially given the number of corners (Al Kholood 16, Damac 3) tallied recently.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Al Kholood Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Al Kholood: Their last match, a 0-2 defeat against an in-form Al Shabab, typified their struggles. With only three wins in their past 14, and none in the last three, the momentum is wholly negative. Their attack—deployed in a 4-3-3—has been blunt, as seen against Al Taawoun (another 0-2 loss) and in a gallant but ultimately futile 1-3 loss to high-flying Al Nassr. Yet, victories over Al Fateh and Al Khaleej reveal a side capable of seizing moments, especially at home, as seen in their tight 2-1 triumphs. Still, recurring defensive lapses and a deteriorating confidence are hard to overlook.
Damac: Their most emblematic recent result was the 0-0 draw with Al-Riyadh, in which Damac’s defensive organization outshone their creative spark—typical for a team alternating between 4-2-3-1 solidity and more expansive transitions when trailing. Their lone win in this run, a deserved 1-0 over Al Qadsiah, demonstrated their counter-attacking threat and willingness to grind—all under the direction of Khaled Al-Atwi. But a dispiriting 0-3 collapse against Al Taawoun and toothless defeats (like 0-1 to Al Wehda) reinforce the sense that self-belief is brittle.
Most recent H2Hs: Al Kholood dominates
| Statistic | Al Kholood | Damac |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 14 | 11 |
| Free kicks | 13 | 12 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 5 |
| Total fouls | 11 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 10 |
🚨Read our full Al Kholood vs Damac stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Kholood the favourite
| Moneyline | Al Kholood 2.20 | Damac 3.16 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.72 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.93 | No 1.74 | |
The odds reflect Al Kholood’s home advantage and their (slightly) superior goal average, but this is razor-tight. Neither team has shown sustained attacking conviction; instead, defensive errors or momentary lapses are likely to shape the outcome. Goals are at a premium, and the low-scoring odds reflect that.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
Al Kholood: Alex Collado
A steady attacking presence even in testing circumstances, Collado epitomizes work rate and technical incisiveness. With 84 passes and a team-high 70% pass accuracy over his last two appearances, he stands out as the metronome in Kholood’s midfield. His ability to advance the ball and link play will be critical if chances are to be carved out of Damac’s well-drilled 4-2-3-1.
Damac: Nicolae Stanciu
Stanciu may not have found the net in his last five, but he is Damac’s creative brain. Logging 85 passes with a very respectable 73% accuracy, he’s the linchpin in their attacking transitions and set piece routines. Watch for his ability to change the tempo and unlock stalemates with a single pass or clever piece of movement.
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Possible Starting Lineups

Al Kholood possible starting eleven
- GK: Marcelo Grohe
- DF: Hamdan Al-Shamrani, Norbert Gyömbér, Abdullah Ahmed Musa Al Hawsawi, William Troost-Ekong
- MF: Kévin N’Doram, Abdulrahman Al Safari, Farhah Al-Shamrani
- FW: Alex Collado, Jackson Muleka, Myziane Maolida
Grohe is an experienced hand in goal, while the back four provides both physicality and composure. N’Doram will anchor the midfield, aiming to disrupt Damac’s forward forays. Up front, the trio of Collado, Muleka, and Maolida will look for any opportunity to trouble the Damac defence. Expect a 4-3-3 formation, designed to switch rapidly from compact defense to wide, direct attacks—especially exploiting Maolida’s pace and Collado’s technical craft.

Damac possible starting eleven
- GK: Florin Niță
- DF: Abdelkader Bedrane, Ramzi Solan, Farouk Chafaï, Abdulrahman Al-Obaid
- MF: Nicolae Stanciu, Ayman Fallatah, Tarek Hamed
- FW: Georges-Kévin N’Koudou, François Kamano, Habib Diallo
Niță anchors a defense that will rely heavily on Chafaï’s anticipation and Bedrane’s physical presence. The midfield led by Stanciu offers stability and creativity; Hamed provides the steel, and Fallatah the energy. In attack, N’Koudou’s hoarding of the ball and Kamano’s off-ball movement should collectively create room for Diallo, their most dangerous poacher. Damac’s likely 4-2-3-1 provides a defensive base while retaining a counter-attacking edge.
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Damac. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
This contest promises to be more about nerve than flair—a classic late-season relegation scrap. The data and context point to a slender home advantage: Al Kholood, despite a recent slump, have shown greater structure at home and carry marginally more attacking threat than Damac. Expect a cagey opening and few chances. My main pick: Al Kholood Draw No Bet. With both squads likely to emphasize defense, the most plausible scenario is a 1-0 win for the hosts or a low-scoring draw. A must-watch for anyone enamoured by the tension and chess-like drama of a survival battle!

