Arjun Menon
When the Saudi Pro League fixture list spat out Al Ittihad vs Damac for May, it looked like another routine home game for the Jeddah giants. Now, with both teams coming off mixed results, the match sits on an edge, and not just because of the points at stake. The contrast between Al Ittihad’s high-octane attack and Damac’s recent struggles is sharp. Still, Damac have occasionally frustrated bigger sides with their compact defensive shape. It’s less a collision, more a stare-down. The key matchup? Al Ittihad’s Youssef En-Nesyri, who’s found the net three times in his last five outings, and Damac’s creative spark Valentín Vada, two goals and an assist recently, who can punish even a moment’s lapse.
Hot stat: Al Ittihad have hammered in 55 shots in their last 5 matches, while Damac have managed less than half that – only 24. Shot volume difference this wide rarely spells balance.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Saudi Pro League 2025/26 (Regular Season) |
| 🏟 Venue: | King Abdullah Sports City Hall Stadium, Jeddah |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Al Ittihad vs Damac prediction
Best value? TipsGG punters are backing Al Ittihad to win to nil. The hosts have won two of their last five, both with clean sheets. Damac, meanwhile, have only managed to score in two of their last five games. A gulf in both confidence and creation. Al Ittihad’s passing accuracy sits at a solid 85%, indicating steady build-up and patience, while Damac are lagging at 83%. Damac’s 33 fouls in five games suggest they’ll try to disrupt, but with just three yellow cards, it’s not disciplined enough to be reliable. Al Ittihad have a higher yellow card count (11 in 5), showing their willingness to press and scrap, but they also concede more fouls and give away set-pieces. This could slow the match at times. But, Damac’s lack of offensive threat—only three goals in their last five—means Al Ittihad’s occasional loss of defensive focus probably won’t cost them. We think Al Ittihad’s direct style and higher volume of corners (26 in 5) will keep Damac boxed in for long periods.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Al Ittihad to win and under 3.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Al Ittihad’s last five games have been a mixed bag: two wins, two losses, one draw. Their most recent outing? A goalless draw against Al Kholood. Flat, uninspired, but they did keep things tight at the back—rarely troubled and not truly threatened. Prior to that, they beat Al Taawoun 2-0 in a clinical display, with En-Nesyri sharp and Aouar dictating tempo. The loss to Machida (0-1) came as a surprise, exposing some issues with chance conversion despite dominating possession and shot numbers. Defensively, the side has looked solid when focused, though the 3-4 defeat to Neom showed a wild side prone to lapses. Still, the overall trend is towards control, high ball retention, and a physical approach.
Damac’s recent form is worrying for their fans—only one win in their last five. Last match? A 0-1 loss to juggernauts Al-Hilal. They managed to keep it respectable, sitting deep and absorbing pressure, but the lack of creativity was glaring. Their lone recent victory came against Al Akhdoud (2-0), but that says more about Akhdoud’s struggles than Damac’s resurgence. Their draws, like the 1-1 against Al Qadsiah, showed grit but not enough punch. The defeat to Al Ahli SC (0-3) was another reminder of how easily Damac can be pulled apart by teams with incisive movement. Vada remains their main hope, but even he’s struggled to get service in dangerous areas.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Al Ittihad | Damac |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1, 1, 1, 4 | 1, 0, 2, 1 |
| Total shots | 55 (last 5) | 24 (last 5) |
| Free kicks | 1 (last 5) | 0 (last 5) |
| Corner kicks | 26 (last 5) | 9 (last 5) |
| Total fouls | 65 (last 5) | 33 (last 5) |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 85% | 83% |
| Interceptions | 43 (last 5) | 29 (last 5) |
| Offsides | 0 (last 5) | 7 (last 5) |
🚨Check out our dedicated Al Ittihad vs Damac stats page for more info.
Damac. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Ittihad the favourite
- Moneyline Al Ittihad 1.43 | Damac 5.45
- Draw 4.60
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 2.00
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.65
Bookies are clear on this one—Al Ittihad are heavy favourites, and honestly, that lines up with recent form and stats. The gap in win rates (Ittihad’s 46% to Damac’s 20% this season) is just one angle. The fact that Damac struggle to score, especially away, drives up the odds for a home clean sheet. Draw feels overpriced, but Damac’s blunt attack rarely justifies a punt. Over/Under lines suggest a cagey affair. We think under 2.5 is worth a look, especially if Damac sit deep. Both teams to score? No, unless Al Ittihad gift a goal.
Possible Starting Lineups
Al Ittihad possible starting eleven
- GK: Predrag Rajković
- DF: Hassan Kadesh, Ahmed Sharahili, Mario Mitaj, Jan-Carlo Simić
- MF: Fabinho, Houssem Aouar, Danilo Pereira
- FW: Steven Bergwijn, Youssef En-Nesyri, Roger Fernandes
Rajković’s experience in goal means security. The defense has been shuffled lately, but Kadesh and Mitaj have the legs, while Sharahili provides an aerial presence. Simić’s recent appearances tip him into the starting slot. Fabinho runs the midfield, with Aouar and Pereira offering both grit and ball movement. Up front, En-Nesyri is impossible to drop, Bergwijn has worked hardest, and Fernandes keeps defenders honest. Expect Ittihad to go with their familiar 4-3-3—aggressive and direct.
Damac possible starting eleven
- GK: Kewin Oliveira Silva
- DF: Jamal Harkass, Tariq Abdullah Mohammed, Abdulrahman Al-Obaid, Abdelkader Bedrane
- MF: Valentín Vada, Khaled Al-Semeiry, Morlaye Sylla, Dhari Sayyar Al Anazi
- FW: Jonathan Okita, Arielson Sampaio·Galvao
Kewin Silva gets the gloves—three straight starts. Defense builds around Bedrane’s reading, Harkass’s work rate, and Al-Obaid’s reliability. Tariq Mohammed and Anazi fill out the four. Midfield relies on Vada’s invention, Sylla’s drive, and Al-Semeiry’s ball-winning. Okita brings movement, Galvao some finishing edge. Damac’s 4-4-2 is built for discipline, but lacks spark. Vada is the one who might break the pattern.
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Al Ittihad. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Al Ittihad to win, and likely with a clean sheet. We expect Damac to dig in but eventually crack under the pressure of Al Ittihad’s relentless attacking. The hosts are overdue a statement performance after that drab 0-0, and Damac’s low shot output won’t scare anyone. En-Nesyri is the man to watch—if he scores early, this could get out of hand fast. Damac’s lack of cutting edge in open play is glaring. We’re taking Al Ittihad to cover the handicap and the under on total goals.
