Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr Prediction: 26.09.2025 Saudi Pro League

In what promises to be a pivotal early-season clash in the Saudi Pro League, Al Ittihad host Al Nassr at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah, on September 26th, 2025. Both sides have stormed out of the gates unbeaten, but Al Nassr’s thunderous goal-scoring form and Al Ittihad’s defensive edge set the stage for an engaging battle. The appointment of coaches Laurent Blanc (Al Ittihad) and Jorge Jesus (Al Nassr) offers a fascinating tactical subplot: can Blanc’s French pragmatism suppress Jesus’s high-octane attack? Keep an eye on two attacking dynamos – Steven Bergwijn, fresh from a four-goal splurge for Al Ittihad, and Joao Felix of Al Nassr, who already boasts six goals in five outings. The battle of these star forwards could prove decisive.
Notably, Al Nassr’s recent run has yielded 21 goals in just five matches – a staggering show of attacking potency that dwarfs most of their rivals’ output.

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Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr prediction

When pitting these two high-flying teams against each other, the value skews toward Al Nassr’s devastating attack, which has been nothing short of clinical. Backed by Joao Felix, Sadio Mane, and Cristiano Ronaldo, they have bagged 21 goals across their last five matches, conceding just twice – a testament to their potency at both ends. While Al Ittihad have shown impressive resilience, their defensive line did show some cracks in the narrow 1-2 loss to Al Wahda. Factor in pass accuracy and overall control: Al Nassr edge this with slightly more passes and accuracy (2381 passes at 88% to Ittihad’s 2247 at 89%). Both teams are known for their aggressive pressing and willingness to play on the front foot, but Al Nassr’s lower foul count (42 to Ittihad’s 55) and superior finishing could tilt this tie in their favour.

Fouls and cards may play a role; Al Ittihad have picked up more yellows (13 vs 7) and generally play with a certain edge that could open up space for Al Nassr’s rapid wingers. Expect a lively midfield skirmish, but Al Nassr’s directness and clinical forward play favour a win in a match likely to feature goals at both ends.

Team Analysis

Al Ittihad recent games: Blanc’s side have won four of their last five, stifling their opposition but occasionally letting slip – as seen in their 1-2 loss to Al Wahda. Bergwijn has been rampant upfront, netting four in four, while the addition of Benzema (three in one appearance) hints at growing firepower. The squad has clocked 2247 passes at 89%, with a high foul rate showing their commitment to disrupting play. Their defence did leak two goals each to Al Fateh and Al Akhdoud, suggesting Al Nassr’s offence will fancy their chances.

Al Nassr recent games: Under Jorge Jesus, Al Nassr have been irresistible – five straight wins, with a jaw-dropping 21 goals scored and just two conceded in that run. Joao Felix and Cristiano Ronaldo have tormented defences, while Kingsley Coman and Sadio Mane provide consistent width and flair. Their disciplined approach is reflected in fewer fouls and yellow cards, coupled with more accurate passing and clinical conversion: they battered Jeddah 4-0 last time out, showing both depth and ruthlessness.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Nassr the favourite

• Moneyline Al Ittihad 3.40 | Al Nassr 1.77
• Draw 4.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.68 | Under 2.5 2.08
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.54 | No 2.20

Bookmakers have made Al Nassr clear favourites – deservedly so. Their top-quality front line, greater squad depth, and all-action approach have borne fruit, especially against top-six rivals. Odds on over 2.5 goals and BTTS are justified, with both teams showing attacking intent and a propensity for defensive lapses under pressure. The value on Al Ittihad comes mainly due to their home advantage and last year’s positive head-to-head record, but numbers don’t lie: Al Nassr’s early momentum is hard to go against.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Al Ittihad possible starting eleven

With Blanc favouring a tried and tested 4-2-3-1, expect stability at the back and energy in midfield. Mohammed Al-Absi is likely to start in goal given his run of games, while Bergwijn and Benzema offer pace and poise up front. Fabinho and Kanté bring control and bite in central areas, while Mitaj and Pereira anchor the defence.

Al Nassr possible starting eleven

Jesus’s side are expected to line up in a fluid 4-2-3-1, with Joao Felix as the central attacking threat flanked by Coman and Ronaldo. The full-backs add width and drive, while Brozović and Al-Hassan anchor a robust midfield. Raghed Najjar, ever-reliable, should take the gloves once more. In this formation, Al Nassr can transition incredibly quickly from defence to attack – a trait that has hurt Ittihad in the past.

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My take on the Match

While both Al Ittihad and Al Nassr come into this clash in flying form, the edge must go to Al Nassr due to their attacking variety, superior discipline, and recent head-to-head success. Expect fireworks: Felix, Ronaldo, and Coman make this Al Nassr side devastating on the break, yet Bergwijn and Benzema give Ittihad a real goal threat. My main pick is Al Nassr draw no bet with a high-scoring game, likely with both teams on the scoresheet and the overall tally surpassing 2.5 goals. With both sides eager to lay down a marker for the campaign, neutrals can expect nothing less than a spectacle!

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