Al Ittihad vs Al-Hazem Prediction: 03.04.2026 Saudi Pro League 2025/26

The Saudi Pro League continues to capture the attention of football fans and betting enthusiasts as Al Ittihad host Al-Hazem at King Abdullah Sports City Hall Stadium. Both teams head into this crucial regular-season tie eager to increase their points tally. While Al Ittihad have historically enjoyed greater success, Al-Hazem’s recent uptick in form sets the stage for an intriguing tactical matchup. Notably, this fixture offers both clubs an opportunity to consolidate or climb further on the league table – a testament to the competitive nature of this season’s campaign.

Key players to keep an eye on include the dynamic winger Steven Bergwijn for Al Ittihad, who has been pivotal in attack, and Nawaf Al-Habashi for Al-Hazem, the forward with an eye for goal. Their abilities to influence proceedings in the final third could swing this contest.

A hot stat to consider: Al Ittihad generated 42 total shots in their last five matches, nearly double the tally of Al-Hazem. This offensive intent could be decisive.

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Al Ittihad vs Al-Hazem prediction

The best value prediction for this contest is a straightforward win for Al Ittihad. What bolsters this outlook is not only the huge edge in bookmaker probability (72 percent win chance) but also the consistency of Al Ittihad’s performance at home. Their superior offensive output and squad depth are major assets. Al-Hazem have shown resilience with a winrate uptick in recent weeks, but their defensive frailties (conceding an average of almost two goals per match this season) remain a concern.

From a tactical perspective, Al Ittihad’s recent 5-3-2 formation allows them to control the midfield, evidenced by their ball retention and 44 total fouls (playing physically to disrupt opposition build-up). Al Ittihad have also kept discipline, with only 4 yellow cards in the last five games, and their pass accuracy of over 89 percent shows composure under pressure.

Al-Hazem typically line up in a more fluid 4-2-3-1, prioritizing quick transitions but sometimes leaving their back line exposed. Their interception stats (34) suggest a proactive approach defensively, but with more fouls (27) and yellow cards (5) than their counterparts, the risk of conceding dangerous set-pieces is elevated. Ball possession and pressing intensity may lead to open play but also mistakes.

Team Analysis

Al Ittihad Recent Games:
Al Ittihad’s last five matches have seen mixed results: a 1-1 draw with Al Kholood, a 1-3 defeat to Al-Riyadh, a 1-3 loss at the hands of Al Ahli SC, a narrow 1-0 win versus Al Khaleej, and a 1-1 draw against Al-Hazem. The trend reveals a squad capable of creating goal-scoring opportunities (42 total shots) yet prone to defensive lapses, particularly against high-ranking opposition. Their latest draw with Al Kholood demonstrated the team’s ability to control possession, but their conversion in the final third needs sharpening. Steven Bergwijn and Moussa Diaby were active threats, although missed chances prevented a more decisive result.

Al-Hazem Recent Games:
Al-Hazem, on the other hand, come into the match after a tight 2-1 win over Al Kholood, a 1-2 defeat to Al Khaleej, a strong 3-1 victory over Al Ettifaq, a 1-1 draw with Al Ittihad, and a heavy 0-4 loss to title contenders Al Nassr. Notable trends include defensive volatility and a lower average ball retention rate (averaging 137 passes per match, ~79.9 percent pass accuracy). However, their ability to press and intercept at key moments – led by Amir Saâyoud and Aboubacar Bah – has allowed them to stale opposition rhythm and spring counter-attacks, as seen in their recent win.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Al Ittihad vs Al-Hazem stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Ittihad the favourite

• Moneyline Al Ittihad 1.28 | Al-Hazem 8.26
• Draw 5.62
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.68 | Under 2.5 2.16
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.19 | No 1.65

With bookmakers setting Al Ittihad as the overwhelming favourite, the odds reflect both their home advantage and squad quality. Al-Hazem’s high odds signal skepticism about their ability to threaten Al Ittihad’s goal, particularly on the road. The over 2.5 goals market is well priced given both teams’ tendency to produce open, attacking football, but Al Ittihad’s superior firepower justifies the main pick. BTTS odds suggest confidence in Al Ittihad’s defence holding firm at home.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Al Ittihad possible starting eleven

Al Ittihad are likely to deploy a 5-3-2 formation, maximising defensive stability while adding attacking width courtesy of overlapping full-backs. Rajković’s shot-stopping ability gives the backline confidence, while the creative spark of Fabinho and Aouar in midfield supports Bergwijn and Diaby up front. The duo’s pace and movement are key to breaking down Al-Hazem. Bergwijn is especially worth watching, given his strong recent form.

Al-Hazem possible starting eleven

Al-Hazem are expected to line up in their preferred 4-2-3-1 formation. Zaied brings stability as goalkeeper, while Al-Dakheel and Boutouil anchor the defence. Midfielders Bah and Saâyoud play pivotal roles in breaking up play and building counters. Up front, keep an eye on Nawaf Al-Habashi, whose recent goalscoring form makes him the focal point of Al-Hazem’s attack. Their lineup is built to strike quickly in transition, but could be vulnerable to Al Ittihad’s attacking waves.

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My take on the Match

Expect Al Ittihad to make home advantage count, leveraging their creative talent and tactical stability for what looks like a statement win. My main pick is Al Ittihad to cover the Asian Handicap (-1.5), as their shot generation and squad quality should see them produce enough to clear the margin. Al-Hazem are a stubborn opponent in transition, but their defensive issues and away form limit their upset potential.

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