Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad Prediction: 11.09.2026 Saudi Pro League Preview

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Al-Faisaly welcome Al Ittihad to Al Majma’a Sport City with two very different stories on show. The hosts sit second from bottom, still hunting for a first league win, while the visitors arrive fourth in the table on the back of a five-win stretch in their last seven outings.

The interesting wrinkle here is how flat Al-Faisaly’s attack has been. They have scored just twice across their last five matches, a number that stands in sharp contrast to Al Ittihad’s eight goals over the same stretch. That gap alone tells punters most of what they need to know before kick-off.

Keep an eye on George Ilenikhena, who has netted four times in his last five appearances for Al Ittihad and offers a direct outlet on the counter. On the home side, Alexandre Mendy carries most of Al-Faisaly’s attacking hope, having produced eight shots and an assist in his last five games despite the team’s wider struggles.

Hot stat: Al Ittihad have out-shot Al-Faisaly 80 to 33 and out-cornered them 22 to 10 across their respective last five matches, a gap that hints at just how one-sided territorial control could be on Friday.

Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad prediction

We predict Al Ittihad to win this one comfortably. Al-Faisaly have failed to win any of their last seven matches in all competitions, drawing three and losing four, and sit rooted at 17th with just three points from six league games. Al Ittihad, by contrast, have lost none of their last seven and currently occupy fourth spot, only a point off the top three.

Al-Faisaly’s defensive shape has actually held up in patches, with back-to-back 0-0 draws before this fixture, but their inability to create chances going forward is the bigger concern. Al Ittihad average close to 16 shots per match over their last five games compared to Al-Faisaly’s 6.6, a gulf that should translate into territorial dominance here too.

On discipline, Al-Faisaly have picked up 44 fouls and 11 yellow cards in their last five matches against Al Ittihad’s 64 fouls and 10 cards, so the visitors are the more physical side without necessarily being reckless. Pass accuracy favours Al Ittihad as well, and that control of the ball, paired with their superior corner count, points toward a match played mostly in Al-Faisaly’s half.

Team Analysis

Al-Faisaly’s last outing ended 0-0 against Al Ettifaq, their second straight scoreless draw after a similar result versus Al-Hazem. Before that stretch, they lost 1-3 to Al Qadsiah and 0-2 to Neom SC, results that expose a side struggling for both goals and points. Giovanni Solinas’ men have managed just two goals across five matches, and the pattern of drawing when they avoid conceding suggests a team playing for damage limitation rather than victory.

Al Ittihad head into this game off a 2-1 win over Al-Fayha, their fourth victory in five matches. That run also includes a notable 2-1 success against Al Nassr and a 3-2 win over Al-Hazem, results that show a team capable of grinding out narrow wins even when not fully fluent. Jens Wissing’s side have scored in every one of their last five matches, a consistency Al-Faisaly simply cannot match at the other end of the pitch.

🚨Check out our dedicated Al-Faisaly vs Al Ittihad stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Ittihad the favourite

• Moneyline Al-Faisaly 3.80 | Al Ittihad 1.77
• Draw 3.90

Bookmakers give Al Ittihad a 52% chance of victory against just 24% for Al-Faisaly, and the numbers line up with what the recent form suggests. Odds around 1.77 for the away win look tight given the gap in quality on paper, but Al-Faisaly’s home struggles this season make backing the underdog a risky proposition. To be honest, this looks like one of the more straightforward reads on the weekend card.

Possible Starting Lineups

Solinas is expected to stick with his usual 4-2-3-1 setup. Girotto and Seck have played every minute available across the last five matches and remain the defensive spine, while Mendy leads the line as the most active attacker despite his lack of goals. Bassogog’s creativity behind him will be key if Al-Faisaly are to threaten at all.

Wissing’s 4-1-4-1 hinges on Lopy screening the back four while Aouar dictates tempo further forward. Bergwijn and Ilenikhena provide the width and directness that punished Al Nassr last time out, and En-Nesyri’s movement up top gives them a reliable focal point in behind a well-drilled defensive unit.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Our punters team leans firmly toward Al Ittihad here. The visitors have won four of their last five matches, scored in every one of them, and have the tactical edge under Wissing that Al-Faisaly simply cannot answer right now. Al-Faisaly’s back-to-back scoreless draws show some defensive resolve, but their attack has produced only two goals in five matches, which caps their ceiling even on a good day.

We predict a low-scoring away win, perhaps 0-2 or 1-2, with Al Ittihad controlling possession and corners throughout. Backing the visitors to win to nil offers solid value given how toothless Al-Faisaly have looked domestically this season.

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