Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad Prediction: 22.10.2025 Egyptian Premier League

As the Egyptian Premier League 2025/26 regular season continues, Al Ahly host Al Ittihad at the Cairo International Stadium on 22 October 2025. Al Ahly, currently enjoying a brilliant run of form, look to reinforce their title credentials, while Al Ittihad seek much-needed points to climb from the lower half of the standings. One intriguing subplot: Al Ahly, under Jess Thorup, have not dropped a point in their last five matches, signaling a stern test for Tamer Mostafa’s Al Ittihad.

For Al Ahly, Trezeguet’s dynamic presence in midfield and Achraf Bencharki’s attacking threat can be decisive, while Fady Farid’s recent upturn in goal contribution makes him a player to watch for Al Ittihad.

A hot stat: Al Ahly have a 100% win rate in their last five matches, outscoring opponents 9–2 and generating 49 total shots—more than double Al Ittihad’s total shot count in the same period.

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Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad prediction

Given recent form, squad consistency, and attacking prowess, Al Ahly are overwhelming favourites for this matchup. Their disciplined 4-1-4-1 setup has enabled the team to efficiently dominate possession and create high-quality chances, while conceding few opportunities at the back. Al Ittihad, on the other hand, have managed just two goals in their last five matches and have looked vulnerable defensively, particularly late in games.

Al Ahly’s aggressive pressing and quick transitions often yield set-piece advantages—reflected by their strong corner count. However, their intensity can sometimes lead to higher foul and yellow card counts. Al Ittihad are a more cautious side, focusing on structure and disciplined defence but they often struggle to break down organized back lines, as evidenced by their low shot and goal tallies. Both teams play with a focus on midfield control; expect Al Ahly to dictate tempo but look for Al Ittihad to exploit transition moments.

Team Analysis

Al Ahly: In their most recent match, Al Ahly registered a narrow 1-0 win against Aigle Noir in a contest where they controlled possession and carved out several quality chances. With a five-match win streak, they’ve recorded victories against top sides like Zamalek (2-1) and Ceramica Cleopatra (1-0), conceding only five goals in the last five matches. Their tactical discipline is evident in their pass accuracy (averaging 83%) and their ability to spread attacking contributions across multiple players.

Al Ittihad: Al Ittihad’s form has been lacklustre, winning just once in their last five outings. Their recent 2-1 success over Arab Contractors stands out but is surrounded by narrow defeats and goalless draws. The struggle is clear: just two goals, a total of 17 shots, and only nine interceptions in five games signal a side lacking cutting edge and consistent defensive solidity. Tamer Mostafa will likely base his approach on structure, hoping to frustrate Al Ahly and steal a result on the counter.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Al Ahly vs Al Ittihad stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Ahly the favourite

• Moneyline Al Ahly 1.25 | Al Ittihad 12.85
• Draw 4.94
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.78
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.56 | No 1.44

The low odds for Al Ahly to win underpin their status as the dominant side, with bookmakers giving the hosts a 73% chance of victory. The value on ‘Under 2.5 goals’ reflects Al Ahly’s solid defensive record and Al Ittihad’s scoring struggles. The slim odds for ‘Both Teams To Score – No’ are justified, given that Al Ittihad have found the back of the net only twice in their last five matches. On balance, backing Al Ahly with an Asian Handicap or looking at combo markets tied to a clean sheet for the home side offers the best value.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Al Ahly possible starting eleven

Al Ahly are expected to line up in a 4-1-4-1, leveraging their solid defensive base led by Yasser Ibrahim and the dynamic progression from Trezeguet in midfield. Mohamed Sherif is a key focal point in attack, supported by Bencharki and Koka—the trio responsible for most of Al Ahly’s recent attacking output.

Al Ittihad possible starting eleven

Al Ittihad will most likely adopt a flexible 4-2-3-1, aiming to stay compact through the midfield and hit on the break via Fady Farid and Abubakar Liadi. Sobhi Soliman’s command of the area in goal, together with Shabana and Ibrahim at the back, will be vital in repelling continuous Al Ahly pressure.

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My take on the Match

With form, depth, and tactical acumen on their side, Al Ahly are well-positioned to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. My main pick is Al Ahly to win with a -1.5 Asian Handicap. Expect them to control the game, press high, and capitalise on set-pieces, while keeping Al Ittihad’s attack in check. While Al Ittihad may provide resilience early on, Al Ahly’s balanced attack is likely to break through as the match progresses. Given Al Ittihad’s lack of consistent goal threat, a clean sheet for the hosts is also a compelling side bet.

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