Al Ahli SC vs Pyramids Prediction: 23.09.2025 FIFA Intercontinental Cup 2025

The second round of the FIFA Intercontinental Cup 2025 delivers a compelling contest between Al Ahli SC and Pyramids, two sides with proven regional pedigree and contrasting tactical philosophies. Both have shown strong form in the lead-up, but this neutral-site matchup in Bergen promises new tests for each manager. Notably, Al Ahli SC under Matthias Jaissle have been unbeaten in their last six matches, while Krunoslav Jurcic’s Pyramids recently bested continental favorites Auckland City, showcasing their defensive pedigree and rising confidence.
Both teams have standout leaders: Al Ahli’s prolific Ivan Toney—having netted six goals in his last five games—brings firepower to the attack, while Pyramids’ midfield maestro Walid El Karti remains crucial in controlling the rhythm and transitions. Recent lineups and performances suggest these two will significantly influence proceedings.
A “hot stat” that jumps off the page: Al Ahli SC have not lost a single match in their last 30 days, maintaining a 67% win rate over six games with an impressive 13 goals scored in the most recent five matches.

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Al Ahli SC vs Pyramids Prediction

Based on current form and statistical outputs, the best value prediction is for Al Ahli SC to win (Draw No Bet) or cover a modest Asian Handicap (-0.25). Al Ahli’s recent offensive surge—13 goals in their latest five games—contrasts markedly with Pyramids’ four over the same span. With Ivan Toney’s clinical finishing and the creative supply from both wings, Al Ahli look well-placed to break down a defense-first Pyramids outfit.
From a tactical perspective, Al Ahli’s proactive 4-2-3-1 enables robust midfield control while sustaining width and high pressing. They’ve averaged an impressive 16.4 shots per match and 34 corners across their last five, suggesting relentless attacking intent. However, their aggression can elevate foul counts (60) and discipline issues (seven yellows), something Pyramids may seek to exploit through set pieces.
Pyramids, on the other hand, utilize a compact 4-1-4-1 that’s yielded stability, yet at the cost of offensive output—just four goals recently. Their focus on ball retention and minimizing space between the lines is reflected in lower shot (9.4 per match) and corner (15) totals, but also in fewer fouls committed (38) and higher defensive cohesion.
Expect an open match with at least two goals, but defensive structure and tournament stakes may subdue a high-scoring thriller. Both teams are likely to see sporadic chances, but Al Ahli’s sustained attacking prowess tips the balance.

Team Analysis

Al Ahli SC Recent Games: The Saudi powerhouse has run an impressive unbeaten streak through six matches, with one of the season’s standout attacking displays in the 5-0 demolition of Al Arabi. Their latest outing was a high-octane 3-3 draw against Al-Hilal, where Ivan Toney and Enzo Millot combined for pivotal attacking plays. Al Ahli’s sustained pressure yielded high shot and corner counts, yet defensive lapses in structure saw them concede three.

In the broader picture, Al Ahli’s 13 goals in the last five games (2.6 per match) highlight a confident attack, but their 60 fouls and 17 offsides suggest they sometimes overcommit. Still, their pass accuracy (87%) and volume point to strong midfield dominance.

Pyramids Recent Games: Pyramids have adopted a more conservative, possession-focused style, yielding three wins in their last four, including a controlling 1-0 result over ZED. Walid El Karti’s two goals and central leadership have been central to their progress, but the side’s limited attacking output—just four goals in five matches—shows room for improvement. Their recent 3-0 statement win over Auckland City was built on disciplined buildup and fast transitions, yet their shot volume (47 in last five) and set-piece threat remain modest by elite tournament standards.

Discipline and defensive resilience have been hallmarks, with only one red card and seven yellows in five games. Yet, their overall pass accuracy (83%) and controlled fouling (38 in five) are signs of a side built more for containment than risk.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Al Ahli SC vs Pyramids stats for more analysis.

Oddsmakers currently price this as a balanced contest, but data leans slightly towards Al Ahli SC due to their superior offensive momentum. The over 2.5 market offers value—considering both sides’ tendency for open play and the stakes. The Draw No Bet safety for Al Ahli is underpinned by their unbeaten run, while BTTS feels likely given both teams’ scoring records.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Al Ahli SC possible starting eleven

Based on regular minutes and statistical impact, Matthias Jaissle is likely to keep trust in the 4-2-3-1, with Mendy in goal and the Demiral-Ibañez central partnership. Ivan Toney’s current goal streak (six in five) makes him the first name on the teamsheet, and Mahrez’s creativity out wide is vital. Kessié and Millot offer box-to-box intensity, while Saleh Aboulshamat brings link-up play from either flank.

Pyramids possible starting eleven

Pyramids will most likely retain a 4-1-4-1 for structural solidity, with Ahmed El-Shenawy marshalling the defense. El Karti anchors the midfield, and, together with Lasheen and Atef, provides the creative link. Mostafa Zico gets the nod up top for his hold-up play and tireless movement, while fullbacks Chibi and Hamdy Sharaf offer balance and defensive cover. Expect Karim Hafez to be a potential “X-factor” with his forward surges from midfield.

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My take on the Match

The data points to a closely-fought contest, but Al Ahli SC’s attacking output, tactical variety, and unbeaten streak make them marginal favorites. Their ability to control midfield tempo and generate high-quality scoring opportunities gives them the upper hand, especially if Ivan Toney maintains his finishing streak. Taking Al Ahli SC Draw No Bet is a strong main pick, while expecting over 2 goals and both teams to score remains a sensible supporting play. In sum, while Pyramids’ defensive discipline may frustrate Al Ahli for stretches, the Saudis should have just enough firepower and tactical edge to prevail in Bergen.

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