Al Ahli SC vs Al Ettifaq Prediction: 28.01.2026 Saudi Pro League

The Saudi Pro League regular season presents another captivating encounter as Al Ahli SC host Al Ettifaq at the King Abdullah Sports City Hall in Jeddah. Both sides are enjoying competitive campaigns, particularly Al Ahli SC, who are demonstrating formidable consistency in pursuit of the title. This fixture not only carries substantial implications for both teams’ standings but also offers a platform for several high-profile talents to shine. Notably, the contrasting forms and tactical setups under respective managers Matthias Jaissle and Saad Al-Shehri could prove decisive in the outcome.

Among the players to keep an eye on, Ivan Toney heads into the match in outstanding scoring form for Al Ahli SC, having netted seven goals in his last five appearances. Meanwhile, Khalid Al-Ghannam has emerged as one of Al Ettifaq’s most dynamic threats in attack, contributing three goals in their recent outings.

A “hot stat” to note: Al Ahli SC boast an unbeaten record in their last six matches, outscoring opponents 11-2 and conceding only two goals, which highlights their defensive discipline and efficiency in attack.

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Al Ahli SC vs Al Ettifaq prediction

Backed by home advantage and a near-perfect win record this season, Al Ahli SC approach this fixture as clear favorites. Their attacking quartet, led by Ivan Toney and Riyad Mahrez, has been highly productive, and their recent form, including a string of dominant victories, underscores their efficiency on both ends of the pitch. The best value match prediction is a home win for Al Ahli SC, supported by the team’s superior consistency and attacking firepower.

Al Ahli SC typically employ a 4-2-3-1 system that maximizes ball retention, reflected in their pass accuracy of 90 percent over the last five matches. Importantly, their style of play minimizes risk, as evidenced by only one red card and relatively few offsides. Al Ettifaq, also set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, are slightly more conservative in possession but are robust in defense, tallying more interceptions than their hosts and collecting a comparable number of yellow cards, indicating their willingness to disrupt play when defending.

Given the attacking strengths of both sides, yet acknowledging Al Ahli SC’s disciplined defense, expect a competitive match that tilts towards the home side, possibly with both teams getting on the scoresheet.

Team Analysis

Al Ahli SC enter this match in imperious form, riding a six-game unbeaten streak. Their most recent fixture saw a 3-0 home triumph over Neom SC, where Ivan Toney netted a brace and Mahrez orchestrated the midfield effectively. This win followed a confident 4-1 result against Al Khaleej and a narrow but professional 1-0 victory at Al Kholood. Al Ahli’s dominance has been built on a blend of high pressing, organized defensive transitions, and the clinical finishing of their frontline.

Al Ettifaq demonstrated resilience in their latest outing, securing a 2-1 win over Al Kholood, with goals from Francisco Calvo and Moussa Dembélé. Prior to that, they ground out a goalless draw with Neom SC and edged a 1-0 win over a strong Al Ittihad side. Despite a home loss to Al Khaleej, Ettifaq’s defensive statistics—most notably 53 interceptions in the last five matches—highlight their strength in breaking up opponent momentum. However, their attack sometimes lacks the same clinical edge as Al Ahli SC.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Al Ahli SC vs Al Ettifaq stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Ahli SC the favourite

• Moneyline Al Ahli SC 1.42 | Al Ettifaq 7.00
• Draw 4.10
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.65 | Under 2.5 2.25
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.05

Bookmakers overwhelmingly designate Al Ahli SC as favorites, which aligns with their recent form and superior squad depth. The short price on a home win reflects their dominance on both offensive and defensive fronts. The “over 2.5 goals” market is enticing given both squads’ recent scoring records, while the “both teams to score” market also attracts attention, as Al Ettifaq have the attacking tools to at least notch a goal, despite their underdog status.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Al Ahli SC possible starting eleven

With a settled defensive pairing and plenty of technical quality in midfield, this Al Ahli SC lineup provides both stability and flair. Ibañez and Demiral anchor the back four, while Enzo Millot orchestrates transitions. Mahrez supplies creativity from wide positions, and Toney remains the primary goal threat as a lone striker within a 4-2-3-1 formation. Expect Galeno’s work rate and dribbling to stretch Al Ettifaq’s defense throughout.

Al Ettifaq possible starting eleven

Al Ettifaq’s projected 4-2-3-1 system is designed to offer defensive cover and counterattacking prowess. Calvo and Hendry provide strength in defense, complemented by experienced operators in Wijnaldum and Medrán in the middle. Al-Ghannam is the key attacking outlet, while Dembélé’s movement and finishing remain essential to any goal-scoring opportunity for the visitors.

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My take on the Match

Given the current run of form, squad depth, and tactical balance, Al Ahli SC are in pole position to secure all three points in Jeddah. While Al Ettifaq have the ability to create problems, particularly through set pieces and counterattacks, the hosts’ consistency, discipline in possession, and the relentless goal-scoring form of Ivan Toney make them the standout pick. Expect Al Ahli SC to control the tempo, create more high-quality chances, and eventually prevail, but Al Ettifaq’s attacking players could ensure an entertaining contest with goals at both ends. My main pick: Al Ahli SC to win, with Over 2.5 total goals.

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