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Akranes vs Fram Prediction: 29 June 2026 Besta Deild Karla

28.06.2026, 11:59

Akranes host Fram at Akranesvollur on June 29 in what looks like a tricky assignment for the home side. Sitting ninth in the Besta deild karla table with just two points from four games, Akranes are under real pressure. Fram arrive in fourth place, carrying form that is notably sharper over the past 30 days, with a 40% win rate against Akranes’s 20%. The most intriguing wrinkle here is that these two sides met earlier this season and played out a 3-3 draw, a scoreline that tells you plenty about how open these fixtures can be.

Two players stand out heading into this match. For Akranes, Omar Stefansson has been their most productive attacker in recent games, contributing two goals and one assist across his last two appearances. For Fram, Kennie Knak Chopart has been a surprise threat from defence, netting twice in his last two matches while also leading Fram in shot volume with nine attempts.

Hot stat: Akranes have failed to score in three of their last five league matches, drawing 0-0 against Hafnarfjordur, IBV Vestmannaeyjar, Thor Akureyri, and KR Reykjavik across that run. Their attack has been deeply inconsistent, and that pattern is hard to ignore when pricing this game.

15:15In 22 hr.29.06.2026
-AkranesIceland
-FramIceland
🏆 Tournament: Besta deild karla 2026, Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Akranesvollur, Akranes
🗓️ Date: 29.06.2026
⏰ Time: 21:15 CEST

Akranes vs Fram Prediction

Fram are the value pick here. They have more goals, more shots, and a cleaner recent record than their hosts. Their 4-2-3-1 shape allows them to press high and generate chances in transition, and Akranes have shown they struggle to hold leads or even find the net consistently.

Akranes average 7.4 shots per game across their last five matches, while Fram average 8.4. Fram’s pass volume is lower (616 vs 761 for Akranes), but their pass accuracy relative to attempts suggests they play a more direct, purposeful style. Akranes, despite their higher possession numbers, have committed 30 fouls in five games and earned six yellow cards, which points to a side that is being outplayed and forced into defensive errors.

Fram’s 29 fouls and six yellow cards are almost identical, so neither team plays particularly clean football. That physical edge in midfield could lead to stoppages and set pieces, which Fram have shown they can exploit. With Akranes struggling to score and Fram’s attack firing across multiple positions, we predict Fram to win and both teams to score remains possible given the earlier 3-3 between these sides.

🔥Hot Tip: Fram to win and over 1.5 goals
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Under 10.5

Team Analysis

Akranes have been frustratingly passive in attack this season. Coach Lárus Orri Sigurdsson’s side has collected just four goals across their last five matches, and their form line of wins, losses, and draws shows no real consistency. Their best result recently was a 0-0 draw against KR Reykjavik, who sit top of the table, which at least shows defensive organisation against top opposition. The 1-2 defeat to Vikingur was more telling, with Akranes unable to convert after going level.

15:15Starting22.06.2026
-KR ReykjavikIceland
-AkranesIceland

Fram have scored eight goals in their last five matches, more than double Akranes’s output. Their 0-0 draw against KA Akureyri was the one flat result, but before that they were involved in high-scoring affairs. Coach Rúnar Kristinsson has a squad with multiple goal threats spread across the pitch, from Atli Jonasson’s two-goal substitute appearance to Freyr Sigurdsson’s two goals in recent games. Fram’s attacking depth makes them genuinely difficult to contain for a side like Akranes.

14:00Starting15.06.2026
-KA AkureyriIceland
-FramIceland

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

These two sides have met five times in recent seasons, with Akranes winning two, Fram winning one, and two draws. The most recent encounter this season ended 3-3, which was a wild result given both teams’ form at the time. Bookmakers consistently favour Akranes at home, yet Fram have found ways to take points from this fixture.

Statistic Akranes Fram
Goals 6 5
Total shots 37 42
Free kicks 22 19
Corner kicks 13 7
Total fouls 30 29
Pass accuracy (%) 72% 70%
Interceptions 27 8
Offsides 2 4

🚨Check out our dedicated Akranes vs Fram stats page for more info.

Akranes. Source: Official Website

Akranes. Source: Official Website

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Fram the Favourite

  • Moneyline Akranes 2.70 | Fram 2.19
  • Draw 3.85
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

Fram at around 2.19 represents decent value given their superior recent form and goal output. Akranes at 2.70 is interesting only if you believe home advantage will flip this, but their 0-2-2 home record this season does not support that argument. The draw at 3.85 is well-priced for a fixture that has produced two draws in the last five head-to-heads, though we lean toward a Fram win rather than another stalemate. Pinnacle’s slightly higher Fram price of 2.19 is worth targeting if you can access it.

Possible Starting Lineups

Akranes Possible Starting Eleven

  • GK: Jon Simonarson
  • DF: Gudmundur Thórarinsson, Erik Tobias Sandberg, Berndsen Baldvin, Jon Gisli Eyland Gislason
  • MF: Haukur Andri Haraldsson, Isak Mani Gudjonsson, Omar Stefansson, Gísli Eyjólfsson
  • FW: Viktor Jonsson, Markus Pall Ellertsson

Akranes look set to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Jon Simonarson between the sticks after making six saves across his last two appearances. The defensive line is anchored by Erik Tobias Sandberg, who leads the squad in interceptions with four and has been consistent across both recent matches. Omar Stefansson is the one to watch in attack. His two goals and one assist in limited minutes make him the most dangerous player in this squad, and he may operate as the advanced number ten or second striker depending on Lárus Orri Sigurdsson’s setup.

Fram Possible Starting Eleven

  • GK: Viktor Freyr Sigurdsson
  • DF: Haraldur Einar Asgrimsson, Thorri Stefan Thorbjornsson, Sigurjon Runarsson, Kennie Knak Chopart
  • MF: Aegir Jarl Jonasson, Israel García, Freyr Sigurdsson, Fred Saraiva
  • FW: Jakob Bystrom, Vuk Oskar Dimitrijevic

Fram’s 4-2-3-1 gives them balance across the pitch. Viktor Freyr Sigurdsson starts in goal, having made seven saves in two matches. Haraldur Einar Asgrimsson is worth noting from the back line, contributing two assists and logging 180 minutes in recent games. In midfield, Aegir Jarl Jonasson carries a yellow card risk with six fouls in two games, but his five shots and three interceptions show he is active on both sides of the ball. Freyr Sigurdsson is the creative engine, and his two goals from midfield make him the player Akranes will need to track most carefully.

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Fram. Source: Official Website

Fram. Source: Official Website


TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict a Fram win. Akranes are winless in four league games this season, have drawn 0-0 in three of those, and their attack has been one of the quietest in the division. Fram score more, create more shots, and have a broader group of contributors finding the net.

The 3-3 draw earlier this season shows Akranes can score, but that match was an outlier. Fram’s pass accuracy and direct play give them an edge in transition, and Akranes’s high foul count suggests they will be under pressure for long stretches. To be honest, the odds on Fram feel short given the home fixture, but the underlying numbers back the away side strongly enough to make it the clear selection.

We also lean toward both teams to score, perhaps driven by Akranes’s occasional ability to threaten on set pieces and corners, where they generated 13 in five games against Fram’s seven. Over 2.5 goals carries real weight given the head-to-head history and Fram’s attacking output.

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