Liam Duckstein
As we approach another exciting chapter in the Eredivisie 2024/25 season, Ajax is set to face off against AZ Alkmaar on March 16, 2025. Both teams are in the hunt for glory, and this match has the potential to reshape the standings as Ajax looks to extend their lead at the top, while AZ Alkmaar aims to close the gap between the top contenders. The electricity in the air is palpable, with each team eager to showcase their tactical prowess and agility on the field. This encounter holds particular significance for Ajax, who are keen to maintain their dominance in the league.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | Eredivisie 2024/25 |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Johan Cruijff Arena |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.03.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:45 CEST |
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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction: 2-1
Both Ajax and AZ Alkmaar bring distinct styles to the field. Ajax has proven itself a formidable force with a disciplined team focused on possession and clinical finishing. With 53 goals scored this season and a goal difference of +35, Ajax’s attack strategy is potent. However, AZ Alkmaar, with a strong will and aggressive play style, exhibits resilience, having netted 40 goals. Though their defensive record is commendable, the team’s tendency to collect yellow cards (12 in the last five matches) might be their Achilles’ heel. The match outcome largely hinges on Ajax’s ability to control the midfield and AZ Alkmaar’s defensive tenacity.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ajax to win (odds above 1.5) |
| ⚽Correct Score: | 2-1 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Goals Over 2.5: | Yes |
Team Analysis
Ajax recently experienced a setback, losing 1-4 to Eintracht Frankfurt. Despite this, they’ve remained a dominant force in the Eredivisie, having won 20 out of 25 matches. Their well-rounded squad, spearheaded by Steven Berghuis, has been instrumental in keeping opponents at bay. In the league showdown against PEC Zwolle, Ajax secured a narrow 1-0 victory, demonstrating their ability to grind out results. Their defensive structure has been a topic of discussion, with players like Ahmetcan Kaplan and Anton Gaaei playing pivotal roles in maintaining order at the back.
AZ Alkmaar, on the other hand, has shown resilience and tactical flexibility. Despite their recent 1-3 loss to Tottenham, they remain competitive. Their performance against Heracles, which resulted in a thrilling 6-5 victory, showcased their attacking depth, albeit exposing defensive vulnerabilities. AZ Alkmaar’s midfield dynamo, Jordy Clasie, continues to influence the game with his passing accuracy and vision.
This matchup will test both teams’ resolve, with Ajax possessing the advantage due to their current form and tactical discipline. AZ Alkmaar’s challenge will be to exploit any open spaces and capitalize on Ajax’s occasional defensive lapses.
🚨Read our full Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar stats for more analysis.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Ajax the Favourite
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | 26% | 21% |
The odds strongly favor an Ajax victory, attributed to their dominant form and strategic gameplay. A draw remains a plausible yet less likely outcome, and an away win would require an extraordinary performance from AZ Alkmaar.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
Ajax’s star midfielder Kenneth Taylor has been crucial in transitioning play and finding the back of the net, with three goals in the last five matches. His ability to dictate the tempo will be vital against AZ Alkmaar. Forwards like Brian Brobbey, with a keen eye for goal, add depth to Ajax’s attacking prowess.
For AZ Alkmaar, Ernest Poku has impressed with his agility and goal-scoring capacity. Meanwhile, Zico Buurmeester’s vision and passing precision make him a key asset in the midfield battle. These players are expected to significantly impact the match’s outcome, bringing flair and skill to their respective teams.
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Possible Starting Lineup
is expected to line up in their preferred 4-2-3-1 formation. The backline led by Ahmetcan Kaplan and Jorrel Hato will need to be vigilant. In midfield, Kenneth Taylor and Jordan Henderson will aim to control the game, while Steven Berghuis leads the attack with support from Brian Brobbey.
AZ Alkmaar will likely counter with their 4-2-3-1 setup, featuring Bruno Martins Indi anchoring the defense. In midfield, Jordy Clasie and Peer Koopmeiners are anticipated to play crucial roles in both defense and attack, while Ernest Poku will be pivotal on the flanks, stretching Ajax’s defense and creating scoring opportunities.
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AZ Alkmaar. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
The Verdict
My main pick is an Ajax victory. Backed by superior form and previous encounters, Ajax is likely to continue their winning streak against AZ Alkmaar. Despite a challenging matchup, their offensive capabilities and home advantage provide them the edge needed to secure another crucial three points.
