Sofia Quijada
The iconic Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti in Pedro Juan Caballero will set the stage for a pivotal Copa Libertadores 2026 Round 1 clash between 2 de Mayo and Alianza Lima. Scheduled for 05 February 2026, with kick-off at 02:30 CEST, this fixture marks a compelling meeting of Paraguayan and Peruvian football cultures. With both teams eager to set the tone in the continent’s most prestigious club competition, the contest promises tactical intrigue, defensive battles, and the vibrancy expected from a Libertadores night in South America.
Key figures to watch include 2 de Mayo’s forward E. Alfonso, known for his physical presence and goal-scoring intuition, and Alianza Lima’s experienced striker Paolo Guerrero, a player whose international pedigree and ability to unsettle defenses will be central to the Peruvian side’s aspirations. Both players have recently found the net for their respective teams and could heavily influence the attacking narrative of this encounter.
A critical stat emerging from recent performances: 2 de Mayo have struggled defensively, conceding five goals in their most recent outing against Nacional Asuncion and accumulating a winless record across their last three matches (D1 L2), while Alianza Lima enter with strong momentum, winning three of their last five across competitive and friendly fixtures.
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2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima predictions
Me best bet: Alianza Lima to win.
Alianza Lima’s greater form (three wins in their last five, winrate 60%) and their superior international pedigree establish them as favourites in this Copa Libertadores clash. Their recent 3-0 victory over Inter Miami and a tightly contested 3-2 triumph over Colo Colo manifest both defensive solidity and offensive nous. In contrast, 2 de Mayo have struggled on both ends, suffering a 1-5 defeat to Nacional Asuncion and a broader winless streak in 2026. The Peruvian side’s composure in big-match scenarios and tactical maturity under Pablo Guede sets them apart, especially considering the defensive vulnerabilities observed in the hosts’ recent outings.
In terms of style, 2 de Mayo’s high foul and yellow card count (12 yellows, 34 fouls in their last five games) suggests a combative approach, which may backfire against the disciplined, quick-passing Alianza Lima. Alianza’s recent form shows efficiency in finishing and game management, despite a dip in set-piece conversion which could still be decisive if capitalized upon. Expect the physicality of 2 de Mayo to slow the tempo, but the visitors’ superior pass accuracy and controlled ball progression should dictate the outcome.
- ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5
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2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | 2 de Mayo | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 7 |
| Total shots | 23 | 34 |
| Free kicks | 15 | 8 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 5 |
| Total fouls | 34 | 16 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 71 | 85 |
| Interceptions | 15 | 22 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
In previous meetings, Alianza Lima’s sharper passing and higher offensive output have given them a clear tactical edge. Despite 2 de Mayo’s relentless pressing and frequent tactical fouls, the Peruvian club has consistently exploited defensive lapses. While 2 de Mayo have shown flashes of attacking promise, these have often been offset by a porous defense and limited set-piece efficiency. Overall, the trend is toward Alianza Lima’s ability to manage transitions and capitalize in the final third.
🚨Read our full 2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Alianza Lima have won 60% of matches played in 2026 (all competitions).
- 2 de Mayo have failed to win in their last three matches, with eight goals conceded.
- In their last five outings, Alianza Lima averaged 1.8 goals scored per match, while 2 de Mayo managed just 0.6.
- Alianza Lima have maintained superior pass completion rates (85% vs 2 de Mayo’s 71%).
- 2 de Mayo average 2.4 yellow cards per game—almost double Alianza Lima’s.
2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima score prediction: 0-2
Given the defensive fragility in 2 de Mayo’s ranks and Alianza Lima’s clinical finishing—bolstered by Paolo Guerrero’s recent form—the prediction leans toward a 2-0 away win for the Peruvians. The composure of Alianza’s midfield in controlling tempo and exploiting turnovers should see them punish any lapses from 2 de Mayo, while the visitors’ back line, organized and disciplined, is projected to keep a clean sheet.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Alianza Lima the favourite
| Moneyline | 2 de Mayo 3.30 | Alianza Lima 2.34 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.05 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.75 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.10 | No 1.70 | |
The odds strongly favour Alianza Lima, reflected in both the moneyline pricing and the implied win probability (around 40 percent for Alianza to win, versus 29 percent for the hosts). Bookmakers recognize the superior league form and international exposure of the Peruvian side. The value on Under 2.5 goals (1.75) aligns with a matchup likely to be defined by defensive organization and few clear-cut chances, with Alianza Lima expected to dictate terms.
2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima Over/Under Analysis
- Four of 2 de Mayo’s last five matches ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Alianza Lima’s average goals in last five matches is 1.8—justifying a conservative approach on the over/under market.
- Both teams have tended to start cautiously in continental play, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter.
2 de Mayo. Source: Official Facebook
2 de Mayo Preview
2 de Mayo enter this Libertadores tie on the back of a difficult run, having failed to secure a win in their last three appearances. Their latest result, a dispiriting 1-5 defeat to Nacional Asuncion, not only exposed systemic defensive weaknesses but also highlighted the challenge of competing against well-structured opponents. While recent draws, such as the 1-1 against Olimpia Asuncion, showed moments of resilience, the general trend has been one of inconsistency and lapses in concentration, particularly when under sustained pressure. Coach Eduardo Ledesma must inspire a turnaround, but the statistics suggest a team still searching for balance and attacking fluency.
2 de Mayo possible starting eleven
- GK: Ángel Martínez
- DF: Pedro Sosa, Ulises Coronel, Wilson Ibarrola, Víctor Dávalos
- MF: Sergio Fretes, Pedro Delvalle, S. Sanabria, Ó. Romero
- FW: Diego Acosta, E. Alfonso
Alianza Lima Preview
Alianza Lima arrive in Paraguay brimming with confidence, and their recent form under Pablo Guede points to an organized side with a proven record in high-stakes clashes. The 3-0 demolition of Inter Miami stands as testament to their attacking capabilities, but it is the squad’s overall stability—with contributions from both seasoned campaigners like Paolo Guerrero and rising stars such as Alan Martín Cantero—that instills belief. The victory over Colo Colo further highlights their ability to seize key moments against quality opposition, while defeats have often been by narrow margins, signifying a competitive mindset. Alianza Lima’s measured build-up play, combined with their resilience in defence, should position them to dictate the tempo and capitalize on any defensive errors from the hosts.
Alianza Lima possible starting eleven
- GK: Guillermo Viscarra
- DF: Renzo Garces, Gianfranco Chavez, Cristian Carbajal, Luis Advíncula
- MF: Pedro Aquino, Fernando Gaibor, Piero Cari, Alessandro Burlamaqui
- FW: Paolo Guerrero, Alan Martín Cantero
Our prediction: Who Wins?
As the Tips.GG team, we identify Alianza Lima as the clear favourites in this Copa Libertadores opener. The Peruvians’ consistency, clinical attack, and composure in possession set them apart. 2 de Mayo’s defensive frailty, coupled with limited goal-scoring output, makes them unlikely to spring a surprise even with home advantage. Alianza Lima are our main pick, with a 49 percent win probability as projected by our dedicated AI prediction engine.
Alianza Lima. Source: Official Facebook
How to watch 2 de Mayo vs Alianza Lima
When? 05 February 2026
Kick-off time: 02:30 CEST
Where? Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti, Pedro Juan Caballero
How to watch: Check official Copa Libertadores broadcasters and club media.
Favorite: Alianza Lima
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