Udinese vs Bologna Prediction: 28.04.2025 Serie A Preview

It’s matchday 34 at the Dacia Arena as Udinese host Bologna in a fixture that looms large for both the top-four race and the battle for respectability in Serie A. While Bologna have their sights set on Champions League football with a spring in their step, Udinese are desperate to arrest a brutal losing streak and restore some pride in front of their faithful. With Udinese languishing in 12th and Bologna flying high in 4th, the gulf between the sides on the evidence of this season couldn’t be clearer—yet, as ever in Serie A, there’s always room for a surprise. It’s not just the points on offer; it’s a litmus test of resilience and ambition for both outfits!

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Udinese vs Bologna prediction

Given the current forms, Bologna present a compelling case as favourites. With four wins in their last six and sitting solidly in a Champions League berth, their energy and tactical discipline under Vincenzo Italiano are hard to ignore. Udinese, on the other hand, have endured a miserable stretch—four straight losses, one paltry goal scored, and mounting doubts under Kosta Runjaic.

Yet, Serie A seldom rewards complacency, and Dacia Arena has sprung its fair share of upsets. The safest value lies in backing Bologna, drawing upon their robust away record and recent penchant for controlling possession and territory. Still, given Udinese’s desperate circumstances, don’t rule out a fiercely physical and scrappy encounter.

Both outfits have shown a willingness to get stuck in—averaging a combined 109 fouls and 10 yellow cards over their last five respectively! We can expect plenty of midfield battles and set pieces. Bologna excel at exploiting transitions and hitting with precision in the final third, while Udinese, although workmanlike, become vulnerable as matches progress. These factors tip “Bologna win/DNB” and “Under 2.5 goals” into prime territory.

Team Analysis

Udinese: Udinese’s recent run has been nothing short of grim—four straight defeats, culminating in a lacklustre 0-2 home reverse to Torino. Defensive frailties have been ruthlessly exposed (12 goals conceded in the last five), and attacking output has dried up (just one goal in that span). Their preferred 4-2-3-1 formation allows for decent central compactness, but turnovers in midfield have led to persistent pressure on Padelli’s goal. Fouls are high, and passing accuracy (just over 80% in the last five) hints at unreliable ball progression—a worrying sign against Bologna’s relentless engine.

Bologna: Confidence abounds in the Rossoblù camp. Coming in off a 2-1 victory over Empoli and impressive wins against heavyweights like Inter, Bologna are riding a genuine purple patch. Their 3-5-2 system takes full advantage of wing-back dynamism and a bustling midfield—effectively pressing high and switching play rapidly. With 7 goals in the last five matches and a sturdy backline conceding only three, Bologna display a ruthless efficiency in both phases. Even when not at their scintillating best, they manage to grind out positive results—testament to Italiano’s influence.

Most recent H2Hs: Bologna dominates

🚨Read our full Udinese vs Bologna stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bologna the favourite

The odds reflect the palpable difference in both current form and table status—Bologna are clear favourites at sub-2.00 levels, while Udinese’s price drifts north of 4.20. Draw appeals only slightly less than the Udinese upset, underlining the bookies’ wariness of a low-scoring grind. “Under 2.5 Goals” continues to shorten—no surprise, given Udinese’s attacking impotence and Bologna’s defensive mettle on the road.

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Key Players to Watch

Udinese: Oumar Solet – The French centre-half has featured in all five of their most recent matches, often being the only bright spot in an otherwise hapless backline. Strong in the challenge, Solet’s 255 passes with 224 completed (88% accuracy) and his lone goal offer rare glimmers of hope for Udinese. If Udinese are to pull off an upset, Solet’s leadership and set-piece threat will be crucial.

Bologna: Thijs Dallinga – No stranger to the limelight, Dallinga has registered 3 goals from 15 shots in his last five and is visibly growing in confidence. Not just a poacher, his movement across Bologna’s front line consistently disrupts defensive shape. If he gets a clear opportunity, don’t be surprised if he haunts Udinese’s fragile defence with telling quality.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Udinese possible starting eleven

Expect Udinese to stick with their favoured 4-2-3-1, providing the midfield with structure but placing considerable responsibility on Solet and Bijol to keep things tight at the back. Lucca leads the line, hungry for service, while Lovrić and Ekkelenkamp will be key in transitions. Solet, with his passing and ability in the air, could be decisive on set pieces given Udinese’s struggles in open play.

Bologna possible starting eleven

Bologna’s trusted 3-5-2 utilises Orsolini and Dallinga up top with plenty of support from midfield runners, notably Aebischer and the versatile Freuler. The wing backs—Miranda and De Silvestri—have the freedom to bomb forward, stretching Udinese’s defence and creating overloads out wide. Watch Dallinga and Orsolini: both are in fine attacking fettle and likely to test Udinese’s resolve from the start.

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The Verdict

Bologna to win! All the data points sharply in the Rossoblù’s favour: recent form, tactical assuredness, and sheer attacking dynamism. Udinese will scrap valiantly, but their blunt attack and threadbare confidence are unlikely to test a Bologna side well-drilled and brimming with continental ambition. Expect a measured display from Vincenzo Italiano’s men, marshalled by Dallinga and Orsolini, to secure three more vital points in their Serie A story. However, in typical Italian fashion, expect a feisty and cagey first half—and don’t be surprised if it takes Bologna’s class a while to break through Udinese’s initial resistance.

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